Value Bet Results — 2026-08-05: 6-9, -6.1 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-05 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 6-9 across 18 bets, -6.1 units, average CLV +2.5pp.

Tennis

• Zizou Bergs vs Sebastian Baez — Under 21.5: ❌ Lost (-1.99u, CLV +1.0pp)
• Nuno Borges vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry — Under 22.5: ✅ Won (+1.28u, CLV +1.0pp)
• Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech — Jessica Pegula: ✅ Won (+0.70u, CLV +3.6pp)
• Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina — Under 19.0: ❌ Lost (-1.44u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend — Taylor Townsend: ✅ Won (+1.98u, CLV +2.3pp)
• Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Fils — Zachary Svajda: ❌ Lost (-1.04u, CLV +15.6pp)
• Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo — Under 21.5: ✅ Won (+1.40u, CLV -1.0pp)
• Alina Korneeva vs Emma Navarro — Emma Navarro: ❌ Lost (-2.85u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet — Under 20.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +4.0pp)
• Elise Mertens vs Anna Bondar — Elise Mertens: ✅ Won (+1.80u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +2.5pp)
• Renata Zarazua vs Leylah Fernandez — Renata Zarazua: ❌ Lost (-1.02u, CLV -7.3pp)

Baseball

• Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Under 9.5: ❌ Lost (-1.54u, CLV +1.5pp)
• Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Chicago Cubs -1.5: ❌ Lost (-0.87u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Texas Rangers vs San Francisco Giants — San Francisco Giants: ❌ Lost (-1.35u, CLV +5.5pp)
• Colorado Rockies vs Tampa Bay Rays — Under 11.5: ✅ Won (+1.66u, CLV +1.0pp)
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres — San Diego Padres: ❌ Lost (-2.86u, CLV +12.7pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.