Value Bet Results — 2026-08-08: 8-8, -6.5 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-08 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 8-8 across 18 bets, -6.5 units, average CLV +2.1pp.

Football

• 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs VfL Osnabrück — VfL Osnabrück +0.75: ½ lost (-0.78u, CLV +0.5pp)
• 1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-3.04u, CLV +5.8pp)
• SV Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-2.15u, CLV +3.3pp)
• 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs VfL Osnabrück — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-3.11u, CLV +2.3pp)
• FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Würzburger Kickers — Under3.0: ❌ Lost (-2.07u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II Tilburg — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-3.22u, CLV -1.3pp)

Tennis

• Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi — Nuno Borges: ❌ Lost (-4.65u, CLV +2.5pp)
• Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Arthur Fils vs Cameron Norrie — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +7.9pp)
• Elina Svitolina vs Amanda Anisimova — Elina Svitolina: ✅ Won (+2.22u, CLV +1.2pp)

Baseball

• New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves — Over 7.5: ✅ Won (+2.38u, CLV +9.0pp)
• Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Angels — Under 8.0: ✅ Won (+1.39u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs Chicago Cubs — Chicago Cubs: ✅ Won (+1.81u, CLV +3.8pp)
• Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles — Baltimore Orioles: ❌ Lost (-1.02u, CLV -0.4pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians — Cleveland Guardians: ✅ Won (+1.40u, CLV -0.5pp)

9

• Louie Sutherland vs Jose Montanha — Jose Montanha: ✅ Won (+1.55u, CLV -11.5pp)
• Diyar Nurgozhay vs Bruno Lopes — Diyar Nurgozhay: ✅ Won (+1.47u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Diyar Nurgozhay vs Bruno Lopes — Diyar Nurgozhay: ✅ Won (+1.32u, CLV +3.0pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.