Value Bet Results — 2026-08-06: 6-6, +3.0 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-06 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 6-6 across 14 bets, +3.0 units, average CLV +1.9pp.

Tennis

• Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang — Under 22.5: ❌ Lost (-1.35u, CLV +3.6pp)
• Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang — Juncheng Shang: ❌ Lost (-1.65u, CLV -2.6pp)
• Anna Kalinskaya vs Diana Shnaider — Anna Kalinskaya: ❌ Lost (-1.64u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Jessica Pegula vs Kamilla Rakhimova — Jessica Pegula: ✅ Won (+0.70u, CLV +2.7pp)
• Cameron Norrie vs Alex De Minaur — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Blockx — Jiri Lehecka: ✅ Won (+1.79u, CLV +2.7pp)
• Nikola Bartunkova vs Amanda Anisimova — Amanda Anisimova: ✅ Won (+2.49u, CLV +0.7pp)
• Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang — Over 18.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +4.5pp)
• Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova — Elina Svitolina: ✅ Won (+1.91u, CLV +3.6pp)

Baseball

• Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets — New York Mets: ✅ Won (+1.43u, CLV -4.2pp)
• Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins — Under 8.5: ❌ Lost (-2.15u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins — Kansas City Royals -1.5: ❌ Lost (-0.84u, CLV +6.0pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins — Under 8.5: ✅ Won (+3.11u, CLV +5.0pp)
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres — Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5: ❌ Lost (-0.84u, CLV +0.0pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.