Value Bet Results — 2026-08-09: 8-10, -4.5 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-09 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 8-10 across 20 bets, -4.5 units, average CLV +3.8pp.

Football

• Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord Rotterdam — Feyenoord Rotterdam +0: ✅ Won (+2.03u, CLV +7.9pp)
• 1. FC Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-1.61u, CLV +7.5pp)
• 1. FC Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden — 1. FC Nürnberg -0.25: ✅ Won (+1.76u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Energie Cottbus vs Hannover 96 — Energie Cottbus to win: ✅ Won (+1.89u, CLV +7.0pp)
• FC St. Pauli vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — FC St. Pauli +0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +8.3pp)
• FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht — FC Utrecht +0: ❌ Lost (-1.40u, CLV +7.6pp)
• FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht — Over2.5: ✅ Won (+1.51u, CLV +0.0pp)
• 1. FC Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Essen — Rot-Weiss Essen +0: ❌ Lost (-2.09u, CLV +3.7pp)
• 1. FC Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Essen — Under3.0: ❌ Lost (-1.86u, CLV +0.0pp)
• SC Heerenveen vs FC Twente '65 — FC Twente '65 +0: ❌ Lost (-3.06u, CLV +8.5pp)
• Gil Vicente FC vs Rio Ave FC — the draw: ❌ Lost (-0.83u, CLV +7.0pp)

Tennis

• Liudmila Samsonova vs Elena Rybakina — Elena Rybakina: ✅ Won (+1.65u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton — Joao Fonseca: ❌ Lost (-2.50u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Alexandra Eala vs Belinda Bencic — Under 21.5: ✅ Won (+1.44u, CLV +3.1pp)

Baseball

• Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays — Over 8.5: ✅ Won (+1.49u, CLV +1.5pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs Chicago Cubs — Under 10.0: ❌ Lost (-1.52u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians — Cleveland Guardians: ❌ Lost (-1.62u, CLV +9.4pp)
• St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies — Colorado Rockies: ✅ Won (+1.75u, CLV +1.2pp)
• San Francisco Giants vs Detroit Tigers — Over 7.5: ❌ Lost (-1.57u, CLV +2.0pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.