Value Bet Results — 2026-08-10: 5-5, +0.1 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-10 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 5-5 across 10 bets, +0.1 units, average CLV +1.5pp.

Tennis

• Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek — Iga Swiatek: ✅ Won (+1.80u, CLV +0.7pp)
• Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elina Svitolina — Ekaterina Alexandrova: ❌ Lost (-1.12u, CLV -4.5pp)

Baseball

• Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox — Boston Red Sox: ❌ Lost (-1.10u, CLV +3.1pp)
• Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets — Over 8.5: ✅ Won (+1.65u, CLV +1.0pp)
• St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies — Philadelphia Phillies: ✅ Won (+0.75u, CLV +6.5pp)
• Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers — Texas Rangers: ❌ Lost (-1.84u, CLV +2.0pp)
• Athletics vs Tampa Bay Rays — Under 9.5: ❌ Lost (-1.33u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies — Under 8.5: ❌ Lost (-2.14u, CLV +2.5pp)
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies — Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5: ✅ Won (+1.77u, CLV +4.0pp)
• Los Angeles Dodgers vs Kansas City Royals — Kansas City Royals +1.5: ✅ Won (+1.68u, CLV -0.9pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.