Value Bet Results — 2026-08-13: 9-11, -3.6 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-13 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 9-11 across 20 bets, -3.6 units, average CLV +3.7pp.

Tennis

• Carol Young Suh Lee vs Polina Kudermetova — Under 22.0: ❌ Lost (-1.46u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha — Henrique Rocha: ✅ Won (+2.51u, CLV -8.3pp)
• Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs Otto Virtanen — Chak Lam Coleman Wong: ✅ Won (+1.30u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Mark Lajal vs Dalibor Svrcina — Dalibor Svrcina: ❌ Lost (-1.86u, CLV +2.1pp)
• Darja Vidmanova vs Anhelina Kalinina — Under 21.5: ❌ Lost (-1.23u, CLV +3.6pp)
• Kamilla Rakhimova vs Kimberly Birrell — Under 21.5: ✅ Won (+1.80u, CLV +1.0pp)
• Kamilla Rakhimova vs Kimberly Birrell — Kimberly Birrell: ❌ Lost (-1.44u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draper — Under 21.5: ✅ Won (+2.18u, CLV +5.0pp)
• Simona Waltert vs Petra Marcinko — Under 21.5: ❌ Lost (-1.66u, CLV +2.6pp)
• Xiyu Wang vs Polina Kudermetova — Polina Kudermetova: ❌ Lost (-1.76u, CLV -9.2pp)
• Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovic — Under 21.5: ✅ Won (+1.53u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino — Adrian Mannarino: ❌ Lost (-1.41u, CLV +19.8pp)
• Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehide — Under 21.5: ❌ Lost (-1.19u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Rinky Hijikata vs Gael Monfils — Under 22.5: ❌ Lost (-1.37u, CLV +4.1pp)
• Rinky Hijikata vs Gael Monfils — Gael Monfils: ❌ Lost (-4.36u, CLV -0.6pp)
• Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima — Ben Shelton: ✅ Won (+1.88u, CLV +0.7pp)

Baseball

• New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners — Seattle Mariners: ❌ Lost (-2.80u, CLV +1.2pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Cincinnati Reds — Cincinnati Reds: ✅ Won (+2.12u, CLV +57.9pp)
• Washington Nationals vs Chicago Cubs — Chicago Cubs: ✅ Won (+2.24u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers — Over 8.5: ✅ Won (+1.37u, CLV +0.5pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.