Value Bet Results — 2026-08-12: 3-5, -3.2 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-12 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 3-5 across 9 bets, -3.2 units, average CLV +2.1pp.

Tennis

• Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima — Brandon Nakashima: ✅ Won (+1.26u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Learner Tien vs Ben Shelton — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +2.5pp)
• Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina — Coco Gauff: ❌ Lost (-0.66u)
• Eva Lys vs Anna Blinkova — Eva Lys: ❌ Lost (-2.31u)
• Quentin Halys vs Bu Yunchaokete — Bu Yunchaokete: ❌ Lost (-1.49u)

Baseball

• Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies — Over 9.5: ✅ Won (+2.04u, CLV +1.0pp)
• San Francisco Giants vs Houston Astros — Houston Astros: ❌ Lost (-1.12u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Pittsburgh Pirates: ✅ Won (+1.32u, CLV +4.3pp)
• Los Angeles Dodgers vs Kansas City Royals — Over 9.5: ❌ Lost (-2.19u, CLV +2.9pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.