Value Bet Results — 2026-08-11: 6-9, -1.7 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-11 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 6-9 across 16 bets, -1.7 units, average CLV +0.0pp.

Tennis

• Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima — Luciano Darderi: ❌ Lost (-0.83u, CLV -1.3pp)
• Quentin Halys vs Soon Woo Kwon — Soon Woo Kwon: ❌ Lost (-1.81u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Jaime Faria vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — Nikoloz Basilashvili: ❌ Lost (-1.20u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton — Jakub Mensik: ❌ Lost (-2.20u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +1.5pp)
• Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien — Learner Tien: ✅ Won (+2.55u, CLV +0.0pp)

Baseball

• Washington Nationals vs Chicago Cubs — Chicago Cubs: ❌ Lost (-0.93u, CLV -3.1pp)
• New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners — New York Yankees -1.5: ✅ Won (+1.79u, CLV +0.8pp)
• Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox — Under 6.5: ❌ Lost (-1.08u, CLV +4.3pp)
• Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets — New York Mets: ✅ Won (+1.37u, CLV +1.1pp)
• Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets — Over 8.5: ❌ Lost (-1.40u, CLV +1.0pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Cincinnati Reds — Chicago White Sox -1.5: ❌ Lost (-1.28u, CLV +0.8pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Cincinnati Reds — Under 8.0: ❌ Lost (-1.43u, CLV -2.5pp)
• Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles — Baltimore Orioles: ✅ Won (+1.31u, CLV +1.5pp)
• San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers — Milwaukee Brewers: ✅ Won (+2.17u, CLV -2.8pp)
• Los Angeles Dodgers vs Kansas City Royals — Over 8.5: ✅ Won (+1.28u, CLV +1.0pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.