Value Bet Results — 2026-08-15: 22-21, -5.0 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-15 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 22-21 across 52 bets, -5.0 units, average CLV +4.1pp.

Football

• Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 — Hertha BSC -0.25: ✅ Won (+1.51u, CLV -2.4pp)
• SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-3.04u, CLV +2.3pp)
• Bolton Wanderers FC vs Preston North End FC — Over2.25: ✅ Won (+1.99u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Bolton Wanderers FC vs Preston North End FC — the draw: ❌ Lost (-1.18u, CLV +3.6pp)
• Bolton Wanderers FC vs Preston North End FC — Bolton Wanderers FC -0.25: ✅ Won (+1.49u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Fortuna Düsseldorf vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II — Under3.0: ✅ Won (+2.96u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Preußen Münster vs FC Ingolstadt 04 — Under2.5: ✅ Won (+2.99u, CLV +3.8pp)
• Norwich City FC vs West Bromwich Albion FC — West Bromwich Albion FC +0.50: ✅ Won (+1.62u, CLV +3.8pp)
• Stoke City FC vs Swansea City AFC — Over2.5: ✅ Won (+3.86u, CLV +5.5pp)
• Charlton Athletic FC vs Derby County FC — Derby County FC +0: ❌ Lost (-1.36u, CLV +5.2pp)
• Bristol City FC vs Millwall FC — Millwall FC to win: ✅ Won (+1.50u, CLV -0.4pp)
• Portsmouth FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-1.97u, CLV -1.1pp)
• FC Alverca vs CF Estrela da Amadora — the draw: ✅ Won (+1.59u, CLV +5.3pp)
• Sheffield United FC vs Birmingham City FC — Sheffield United FC to win: ❌ Lost (-1.37u, CLV +13.6pp)
• FC Utrecht vs AZ — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-3.01u, CLV +7.4pp)
• Académico de Viseu FC vs CD Santa Clara — Over2.5: ❌ Lost (-2.84u, CLV +11.4pp)
• Fortuna Sittard vs SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden — Fortuna Sittard -0.75: ✅ Won (+1.78u, CLV +3.8pp)
• Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — Sevilla FC +0: ✅ Won (+2.27u, CLV -0.9pp)
• Rio Ave FC vs FC Porto — Under2.5: ✅ Won (+1.43u, CLV +0.0pp)

Tennis

• Martin Landaluce vs Matteo Arnaldi — Under 22.5: ❌ Lost (-1.27u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Zeynep Sonmez vs Amanda Anisimova — Amanda Anisimova: ✅ Won (+0.81u, CLV +6.6pp)
• Martin Landaluce vs Matteo Arnaldi — Martin Landaluce: ✅ Won (+0.49u, CLV +9.8pp)
• Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navone — Mariano Navone: ❌ Lost (-1.77u, CLV -0.9pp)
• Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navone — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +2.5pp)
• Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobolli — Miomir Kecmanovic: ❌ Lost (-1.07u, CLV +4.4pp)
• Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day — Under 20.5: ❌ Lost (-1.66u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherot — Under 21.5: ✅ Won (+2.04u, CLV -1.4pp)
• Caty Mcnally vs Anna Kalinskaya — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +3.5pp)
• Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirante — Novak Djokovic: ❌ Lost (-4.67u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensik — Jakub Mensik: ✅ Won (+1.60u, CLV +3.1pp)
• Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensik — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +8.8pp)
• Jelena Ostapenko vs Magdalena Frech — Magdalena Frech: ✅ Won (+1.99u, CLV +13.5pp)
• Jan Lennard Struff vs Alejandro Tabilo — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Simona Waltert vs Jessica Pegula — Over 18.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +12.2pp)
• Terence Atmane vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry — Under 23.0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +1.5pp)
• Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth — James Duckworth: ❌ Lost (-1.27u, CLV +9.1pp)
• Emma Navarro vs Anhelina Kalinina — Anhelina Kalinina: ❌ Lost (-1.24u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Peyton Stearns vs Clara Tauson — Peyton Stearns: ❌ Lost (-2.55u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV -1.0pp)
• Peyton Stearns vs Clara Tauson — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +5.1pp)
• Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic — Belinda Bencic: ❌ Lost (-4.67u, CLV +17.6pp)
• Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie — Alexander Zverev: ✅ Won (+1.45u)

Baseball

• Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals — St. Louis Cardinals: ❌ Lost (-3.06u, CLV +2.6pp)
• New York Mets vs Washington Nationals — Washington Nationals: ✅ Won (+1.68u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies — Philadelphia Phillies: ❌ Lost (-2.14u, CLV +1.9pp)
• Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers — Milwaukee Brewers: ❌ Lost (-1.27u, CLV +4.7pp)
• Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Under 8.5: ❌ Lost (-1.25u, CLV +3.8pp)
• Athletics vs Texas Rangers — Texas Rangers: ✅ Won (+0.93u, CLV +7.5pp)

9

• Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj — Neil Magny: ✅ Won (+0.75u, CLV +6.0pp)
• Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore — Vicente Luque: ❌ Lost (-0.56u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Donte Johnson vs Eric McConico — Donte Johnson: ✅ Won (+1.53u, CLV +3.1pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.