Value Bet Results — 2026-08-14: 11-12, -0.9 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-14 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 11-12 across 35 bets, -0.9 units, average CLV +3.5pp.

Football

• Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum — Over2.5: ❌ Lost (-1.37u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum — Under2.75: ✅ Won (+1.57u, CLV -1.0pp)
• Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-2.09u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen Wiesbaden — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-1.12u, CLV +4.0pp)
• Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-1.58u, CLV +5.7pp)

Tennis

• Kyrian Jacquet vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +10.9pp)
• Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskova — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +2.5pp)
• Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaier — Chak Lam Coleman Wong: ❌ Lost (-2.10u, CLV +9.9pp)
• Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Anna Blinkova — Mananchaya Sawangkaew: ❌ Lost (-2.62u, CLV +1.1pp)
• Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Under 22.5: ✅ Won (+1.25u, CLV +4.6pp)
• Maya Joint vs Tamara Korpatsch — Tamara Korpatsch: ✅ Won (+3.22u, CLV +9.1pp)
• Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Pablo Carreno Busta: ✅ Won (+1.35u, CLV +8.6pp)
• Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Assche — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +4.0pp)
• Emiliana Arango vs Venus Williams — Emiliana Arango: ✅ Won (+0.53u, CLV +5.9pp)
• Lilli Tagger vs Talia Gibson — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +2.0pp)
• Juncheng Shang vs Lorenzo Sonego — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +3.0pp)
• JJ Wolf vs James Duckworth — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +3.6pp)
• Christopher Oconnell vs Kamil Majchrzak — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +2.0pp)
• Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakis — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +11.4pp)
• Maria Timofeeva vs Xiyu Wang — Maria Timofeeva: ❌ Lost (-1.15u, CLV +1.3pp)
• Xin Yu Wang vs Hanne Vandewinkel — Xin Yu Wang: ✅ Won (+1.91u, CLV +9.0pp)
• Xin Yu Wang vs Hanne Vandewinkel — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +5.7pp)
• Yulia Putintseva vs Liudmila Samsonova — Yulia Putintseva: ❌ Lost (-1.41u, CLV +4.6pp)
• Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Karen Khachanov — Aleksandar Kovacevic: ✅ Won (+2.10u, CLV +7.3pp)
• Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Karen Khachanov — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +2.0pp)

Baseball

• Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins — Cincinnati Reds -1.5: ❌ Lost (-0.91u, CLV +1.1pp)
• Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox — Under 8.5: ❌ Lost (-1.61u, CLV +6.7pp)
• New York Mets vs Washington Nationals — Washington Nationals: ❌ Lost (-1.30u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres — Over 7.5: ✅ Won (+1.45u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles — Baltimore Orioles: ✅ Won (+1.41u, CLV -1.2pp)
• Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners — Seattle Mariners: ✅ Won (+1.38u, CLV +1.6pp)
• Los Angeles Angels vs Kansas City Royals — Kansas City Royals: ❌ Lost (-1.69u, CLV -0.5pp)
• San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies — Colorado Rockies: ✅ Won (+1.88u, CLV -2.8pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.