Value Bet Results — 2026-08-22: 10-17, -12.0 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-22 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 10-17 across 27 bets, -12.0 units, average CLV -0.3pp.

Football

• Hull City AFC vs Manchester United FC — Under2.5: ✅ Won (+4.37u, CLV -4.5pp)
• Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC — Nottingham Forest FC +0: ❌ Lost (-2.04u, CLV -3.5pp)
• Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC — Over2.25: ❌ Lost (-1.89u, CLV -4.6pp)
• Everton FC vs Crystal Palace FC — Everton FC -0.25: ✅ Won (+1.81u, CLV -4.0pp)
• Blackburn Rovers FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-2.16u, CLV -8.4pp)
• Preston North End FC vs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC — Preston North End FC +0.50: ❌ Lost (-1.28u, CLV +10.9pp)
• Ipswich Town FC vs Sunderland AFC — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-2.29u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Southampton FC vs Stoke City FC — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-3.04u, CLV +0.9pp)
• CS Marítimo vs Académico de Viseu FC — CS Marítimo -0.25: ½ won (+0.70u, CLV +0.6pp)
• Udinese Calcio vs Como 1907 — Over2.5: ❌ Lost (-1.48u, CLV +8.7pp)
• FC Internazionale Milano vs AC Monza — Under2.75: ❌ Lost (-1.61u, CLV +0.0pp)
• GD Estoril Praia vs Rio Ave FC — Rio Ave FC +0.25: ✅ Won (+1.30u, CLV +1.9pp)
• Valencia CF vs RC Celta de Vigo — Over2.5: ❌ Lost (-2.41u, CLV +3.5pp)
• Valencia CF vs RC Celta de Vigo — the draw: ✅ Won (+1.91u, CLV +0.3pp)
• OGC Nice vs FC Lorient — FC Lorient to win: ❌ Lost (-1.02u, CLV +11.5pp)
• Parma Calcio 1913 vs Cagliari Calcio — Parma Calcio 1913 to win: ❌ Lost (-1.28u, CLV -8.7pp)
• OGC Nice vs FC Lorient — Under2.75: ✅ Won (+1.92u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Parma Calcio 1913 vs Cagliari Calcio — Over2.5: ❌ Lost (-2.55u, CLV -9.2pp)

Tennis

• Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fils — Flavio Cobolli: ❌ Lost (-1.15u, CLV +8.4pp)

Baseball

• New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays — Toronto Blue Jays: ✅ Won (+1.53u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals — St. Louis Cardinals: ✅ Won (+0.52u, CLV +3.7pp)
• Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays — Tampa Bay Rays: ✅ Won (+1.40u, CLV -2.8pp)
• Seattle Mariners vs Chicago Cubs — Chicago Cubs: ❌ Lost (-1.51u, CLV -1.0pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers — Over 8.5: ❌ Lost (-1.36u, CLV -1.5pp)
• Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians — Cleveland Guardians: ❌ Lost (-1.43u, CLV +4.5pp)

9

• Nasrat Haqparast vs Chris Padilla — Chris Padilla: ✅ Won (+1.56u, CLV +6.0pp)
• Roman Dolidze vs Reinier de Ridder — Roman Dolidze: ❌ Lost (-0.51u, CLV +4.1pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.