Value Bet Results — 2026-08-30: 8-11, -13.0 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-30 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 8-11 across 22 bets, -13.0 units, average CLV +2.3pp.

Football

• FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — FC St. Pauli +0: ❌ Lost (-0.64u, CLV +1.0pp)
• Willem II Tilburg vs SC Heerenveen — SC Heerenveen +0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +1.4pp)
• Feyenoord Rotterdam vs ADO Den Haag — Feyenoord Rotterdam +0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Sunderland AFC vs Fulham FC — Fulham FC +0: ❌ Lost (-0.76u, CLV +7.3pp)
• Leeds United FC vs Brentford FC — Brentford FC +0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Paris FC vs OGC Nice — Over2.25: ✅ Won (+0.84u, CLV +0.0pp)
• SC Freiburg vs SV Werder Bremen — SC Freiburg to win: ✅ Won (+1.55u, CLV +8.3pp)
• CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora — CF Estrela da Amadora +0.25: ✅ Won (+0.67u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Telstar 1963 vs AFC Ajax — AFC Ajax +0: ✅ Won (+0.84u, CLV +3.4pp)
• Real Madrid CF vs Málaga CF — Real Madrid CF +0: ✅ Won (+0.22u, CLV +1.8pp)
• Real Madrid CF vs Málaga CF — Málaga CF +2.50: ❌ Lost (-1.45u, CLV +2.6pp)
• Manchester United FC vs Ipswich Town FC — Under3.0: ❌ Lost (-0.81u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Casa Pia AC vs Moreirense FC — Moreirense FC +0: ✅ Won (+2.04u, CLV +3.7pp)

Tennis

• Renata Zarazua vs Polina Iatcenko — Renata Zarazua: ❌ Lost (-1.63u, CLV +2.8pp)
• Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad Medjedovic — Hamad Medjedovic: ❌ Lost (-1.59u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Talia Gibson vs Donna Vekic — Under 21.5: ❌ Lost (-1.13u, CLV +4.5pp)
• Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska — Dayana Yastremska: ❌ Lost (-4.12u, CLV +3.1pp)
• Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksby — Jenson Brooksby: ❌ Lost (-2.39u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov — Denis Shapovalov: ✅ Won (+1.83u, CLV +3.5pp)
• Carol Young Suh Lee vs Katie Boulter — Under 21.5: ❌ Lost (-2.86u, CLV +4.0pp)
• Taylah Preston vs Alycia Parks — Under 22.0: ✅ Won (+1.40u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic — Novak Djokovic: ❌ Lost (-5.00u, CLV +0.0pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.