Value Bet Results — 2026-09-03: 5-3, +5.4 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-09-03 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 5-3 across 11 bets, +5.4 units, average CLV +2.9pp.

Tennis

• Madison Keys vs Anna Bondar — Under 19.0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +3.6pp)
• Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska — Over 16.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +8.3pp)
• Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina — Dalibor Svrcina: ❌ Lost (-1.18u, CLV +10.5pp)
• Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Alexandra Eala — Under 17.5: ✅ Won (+1.89u, CLV +2.5pp)
• Mirra Andreeva vs Eva Lys — Under 18.0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +0.0pp)

Baseball

• Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants — San Francisco Giants: ❌ Lost (-1.24u, CLV -0.4pp)
• Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox — Chicago White Sox: ✅ Won (+1.93u, CLV +1.9pp)
• Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox — Boston Red Sox: ❌ Lost (-1.23u, CLV +1.0pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins — Miami Marlins: ✅ Won (+1.59u, CLV +4.9pp)
• Seattle Mariners vs Athletics — Athletics: ✅ Won (+1.45u, CLV -5.2pp)
• Seattle Mariners vs Athletics — Over 7.5: ✅ Won (+2.17u, CLV +2.5pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.