Value Bet Results — 2026-09-06: 8-11, -6.6 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-09-06 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 8-11 across 20 bets, -6.6 units, average CLV +4.9pp.

Football

• FC Groningen vs FC Twente '65 — FC Groningen +0.25: ½ won (+0.77u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Würzburger Kickers vs VfB Stuttgart II — VfB Stuttgart II +0: ✅ Won (+1.82u, CLV +0.9pp)
• Frosinone Calcio vs Venezia FC — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-2.34u, CLV +16.1pp)
• Everton FC vs Manchester United FC — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-2.36u, CLV +17.7pp)
• Valencia CF vs FC Barcelona — Valencia CF +1.75: ❌ Lost (-1.98u, CLV -5.8pp)
• Valencia CF vs FC Barcelona — FC Barcelona to win: ✅ Won (+1.55u, CLV +3.1pp)
• Arsenal FC vs Chelsea FC — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-1.18u, CLV +8.3pp)
• Deportivo Alavés vs CA Osasuna — Deportivo Alavés +0: ✅ Won (+2.94u, CLV +5.6pp)
• Vitória SC vs Casa Pia AC — Vitória SC +0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +4.2pp)
• Gil Vicente FC vs Académico de Viseu FC — Over2.5: ❌ Lost (-2.73u, CLV +20.7pp)

Baseball

• Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves — Under 8.0: ❌ Lost (-1.25u, CLV +2.6pp)
• Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs — Under 8.0: ❌ Lost (-1.61u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers — Detroit Tigers: ❌ Lost (-1.13u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs — Chicago Cubs: ✅ Won (+1.27u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Arizona Diamondbacks: ✅ Won (+1.42u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays — Over 7.5: ✅ Won (+1.32u, CLV +3.7pp)
• Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals — Under 11.0: ❌ Lost (-1.92u, CLV +0.0pp)
• San Diego Padres vs New York Yankees — New York Yankees: ✅ Won (+2.29u, CLV +3.7pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins — Under 8.5: ❌ Lost (-1.64u, CLV -1.5pp)
• Los Angeles Dodgers vs Washington Nationals — Under 8.0: ❌ Lost (-1.83u, CLV -0.5pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.