Value Bet Results — 2026-09-15: 6-2, +1.4 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-09-15 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 6-2 across 9 bets, +1.4 units, average CLV +5.2pp.

Football

• Würzburger Kickers vs Alemannia Aachen — Alemannia Aachen +0: ❌ Lost (-3.34u, CLV -0.2pp)
• MSV Duisburg vs TSV Havelse — MSV Duisburg +0: ✅ Won (+0.86u, CLV +3.3pp)
• Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FC — Middlesbrough FC +0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +10.9pp)
• Bristol City FC vs Lincoln City FC — Lincoln City FC +0.50: ✅ Won (+1.56u, CLV -5.5pp)
• Elche CF vs Real Madrid CF — Elche CF +1.75: ✅ Won (+1.80u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Elche CF vs Real Madrid CF — Real Madrid CF +0: ✅ Won (+1.12u, CLV +11.8pp)

Baseball

• Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees — Under 7.5: ❌ Lost (-2.56u, CLV +6.7pp)
• St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants — Over 8.5: ✅ Won (+1.37u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox — Boston Red Sox: ✅ Won (+0.63u, CLV +4.6pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.