Value Bet Results — 2026-09-16: 4-9, -9.2 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-09-16 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 4-9 across 13 bets, -9.2 units, average CLV +3.5pp.

Football

• RC Deportivo La Coruña vs Sevilla FC — the draw: ❌ Lost (-1.14u, CLV +1.9pp)
• RC Deportivo La Coruña vs Sevilla FC — RC Deportivo La Coruña +0: ❌ Lost (-2.15u, CLV -2.1pp)
• FC Barcelona vs Real Racing Club de Santander — Real Racing Club de Santander +2.75: ❌ Lost (-1.99u, CLV +0.0pp)
• FC Barcelona vs Real Racing Club de Santander — Under4.5: ❌ Lost (-1.79u, CLV +13.5pp)

Baseball

• St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants — San Francisco Giants: ✅ Won (+1.65u, CLV +0.8pp)
• Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees — New York Yankees: ❌ Lost (-4.51u, CLV +5.0pp)
• Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers — Detroit Tigers: ✅ Won (+2.61u, CLV +1.1pp)
• Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers — Over 8.5: ❌ Lost (-1.22u, CLV +1.5pp)
• Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers — Milwaukee Brewers: ❌ Lost (-1.52u, CLV -1.4pp)
• Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers — Under 7.5: ❌ Lost (-1.51u, CLV +7.5pp)
• Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies — Under 8.5: ✅ Won (+2.61u, CLV +10.4pp)
• Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies — Philadelphia Phillies: ❌ Lost (-1.13u, CLV -4.8pp)
• New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles — Baltimore Orioles: ✅ Won (+0.93u, CLV +9.5pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.