Value Bet Results — 2026-09-17: 2-4, -4.4 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-09-17 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 2-4 across 6 bets, -4.4 units, average CLV +3.1pp.

Football

• Real Betis Balompié vs Getafe CF — Real Betis Balompié to win: ✅ Won (+1.26u, CLV +4.6pp)

Baseball

• Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres — Under 10.5: ❌ Lost (-1.63u, CLV +4.5pp)
• Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals — Kansas City Royals: ❌ Lost (-1.34u, CLV +2.2pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers — Detroit Tigers: ❌ Lost (-1.33u, CLV +8.0pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers — Under 8.5: ✅ Won (+1.30u, CLV +0.5pp)

7

• Buffalo Bills vs Detroit Lions — Under 54.5: ❌ Lost (-2.63u, CLV +0.5pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.