Value Bet Results — 2026-10-11: 7-7, +1.3 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-10-11 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 7-7 across 15 bets, +1.3 units, average CLV +6.6pp.

Football

• FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen Wiesbaden — the draw: ❌ Lost (-1.54u, CLV +5.7pp)
• Crystal Palace FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Nottingham Forest FC +0: ❌ Lost (-2.18u, CLV +10.4pp)
• 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — 1. FC Köln to win: ✅ Won (+2.03u, CLV +13.0pp)
• SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 — SC Freiburg to win: ✅ Won (+2.29u, CLV +2.4pp)
• Real Betis Balompié vs CA Osasuna — Real Betis Balompié to win: ✅ Won (+3.00u, CLV +8.1pp)
• Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Vitória SC — Sport Lisboa e Benfica +0: ✅ Won (+0.67u, CLV +2.5pp)
• Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF — Real Racing Club de Santander to win: ❌ Lost (-1.63u, CLV +0.0pp)
• FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora — CF Estrela da Amadora +0: ❌ Lost (-1.25u, CLV +8.5pp)

Tennis

• Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u)
• Clara Tauson vs Marie Bouzkova — Clara Tauson: ❌ Lost (-0.54u)

Hockey

• Washington Capitals vs Seattle Kraken — Over 6.5: ✅ Won (+1.84u, CLV +10.9pp)

Baseball

• Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Los Angeles Dodgers: ✅ Won (+1.58u, CLV -2.0pp)

7

• Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans — Tennessee Titans +7.5: ❌ Lost (-2.28u)
• New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns — Cleveland Browns: ✅ Won (+0.52u, CLV +37.2pp)
• Atlanta Falcons vs Baltimore Ravens — Baltimore Ravens: ❌ Lost (-1.26u, CLV +9.8pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.