Value Bet Results — 2026-10-21: 1-5, -12.4 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-10-21 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 1-5 across 8 bets, -12.4 units, average CLV -0.6pp.

Football

• Levante UD vs Athletic Club — Athletic Club +0: ❌ Lost (-4.00u, CLV -3.7pp)
• Levante UD vs Athletic Club — Levante UD +0.25: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +4.7pp)
• FC Bayern München vs Arsenal FC — FC Bayern München +0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV -9.1pp)

NBA

• Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks — Orlando Magic: ❌ Lost (-2.82u, CLV -4.5pp)
• Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks — Under 238.5: ❌ Lost (-3.23u, CLV +6.3pp)
• Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz — Utah Jazz +1.5: ❌ Lost (-1.82u, CLV +2.1pp)
• Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks — Dallas Mavericks +9.5: ❌ Lost (-2.65u, CLV +1.5pp)
• Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns — Portland Trail Blazers -4.0: ✅ Won (+2.14u)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.