Caleb Williams (Quarterback, CHI) enters the 2026 draft season as our model's QB9, projected for ~283 PPR points (overall rank 52). In the 2025 season they finished as the QB5 in PPR scoring. Projections come from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline for draft research, not a betting edge.
The market drafts Caleb Williams on average 38 spots LATER than our board (ADP rank 90 vs model rank 52) — potential draft value.
Pace assumes a full 17-game season at the player's current modelled per-game rate — it does not account for injury, role changes, suspensions or coaching decisions that can shift usage during the season. Data baseline for research, not a betting edge.
| Scoring | Proj pts | VOR | Tier | Overall | Pos rank | ADP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 283 | 37 | 3 | 52 | QB9 | 90.5 |
| Half-PPR | 282 | 37 | 3 | 42 | QB9 | 92.3 |
| Standard | 282 | 36 | 3 | 36 | QB9 | 90.4 |
| Season | G | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 3942 | 27 | 7 | 77 | 383 | 3 | 318 |
| 2024 | 17 | 3541 | 20 | 6 | 81 | 489 | 0 | 259 |
| Wk | Opp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 210 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 58 | 1 | 24.2 |
| 2 | DET | 207 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 0 | 17.0 |
| 3 | DAL | 298 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 29.1 |
| 4 | LV | 212 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 11.8 |
| 6 | WAS | 252 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 1 | 19.9 |
| 7 | NO | 172 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 0 | 4.7 |
| 8 | BAL | 285 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 11.8 |
| 9 | CIN | 280 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 53 | 0 | 38.7 |
| 10 | NYG | 220 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 63 | 1 | 25.1 |
| 11 | MIN | 193 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 10.3 |
| 12 | PIT | 239 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 23.7 |
| 13 | PHI | 154 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 9.5 |
| 14 | GB | 186 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 14.9 |
| 15 | CLE | 242 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 19.0 |
| 16 | GB | 250 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 21.0 |
| 17 | SF | 330 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 23.0 |
| 18 | DET | 212 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14.6 |