Josh Downs (Wide Receiver, IND) enters the 2026 draft season as our model's WR41, projected for ~173 PPR points (overall rank 103). In the 2025 season they finished as the WR43 in PPR scoring. Projections come from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline for draft research, not a betting edge.
The market drafts Josh Downs on average 14 spots EARLIER than our board (ADP rank 89 vs model rank 103) — beware of reaching.
Pace assumes a full 17-game season at the player's current modelled per-game rate — it does not account for injury, role changes, suspensions or coaching decisions that can shift usage during the season. Data baseline for research, not a betting edge.
| Scoring | Proj pts | VOR | Tier | Overall | Pos rank | ADP | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 173 | -4 | 7 | 103 | WR41 | 88.9 | 23% |
| Half-PPR | 139 | -6 | 7 | 105 | WR42 | 93.7 | 23% |
| Standard | 106 | -7 | 7 | 103 | WR40 | 100.1 | 23% |
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Car | Rush yds | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16 | 88 | 58 | 566 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 138 |
| 2024 | 14 | 107 | 72 | 803 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 182 |
| 2023 | 17 | 98 | 68 | 771 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 157 |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Car | Rush yds | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIA | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.2 |
| 2 | DEN | 8 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11.1 |
| 3 | TEN | 3 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.4 |
| 4 | LA | 5 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| 5 | LV | 8 | 6 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11.4 |
| 6 | ARI | 7 | 6 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16.2 |
| 8 | TEN | 3 | 3 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12.9 |
| 9 | PIT | 9 | 6 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17.7 |
| 10 | ATL | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 |
| 12 | KC | 6 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 |
| 13 | HOU | 6 | 2 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| 14 | JAX | 5 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| 15 | SEA | 5 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10.3 |
| 16 | SF | 9 | 5 | 65 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11.8 |
| 17 | JAX | 5 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.4 |
| 18 | HOU | 4 | 4 | 61 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 9.6 |