Matthew Stafford (Quarterback, LA) enters the 2026 draft season as our model's QB15, projected for ~243 PPR points (overall rank 102). In the 2025 season they finished as the QB2 in PPR scoring. Projections come from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline for draft research, not a betting edge.
The market drafts Matthew Stafford on average 23 spots EARLIER than our board (ADP rank 79 vs model rank 102) — beware of reaching.
Pace assumes a full 17-game season at the player's current modelled per-game rate — it does not account for injury, role changes, suspensions or coaching decisions that can shift usage during the season. Data baseline for research, not a betting edge.
| Scoring | Proj pts | VOR | Tier | Overall | Pos rank | ADP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 243 | -2 | 5 | 102 | QB15 | 76.5 |
| Half-PPR | 243 | -2 | 5 | 99 | QB15 | 75.5 |
| Standard | 243 | -2 | 5 | 98 | QB15 | 71.4 |
| Season | G | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 4707 | 46 | 8 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 356 |
| 2024 | 16 | 3762 | 20 | 8 | 30 | 41 | 0 | 219 |
| 2023 | 15 | 3965 | 24 | 11 | 21 | 65 | 0 | 239 |
| 2022 | 9 | 2087 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 114 |
| 2021 | 17 | 4886 | 41 | 17 | 32 | 43 | 0 | 330 |
| Wk | Opp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HOU | 245 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 0 | 13.6 |
| 2 | TEN | 298 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 0 | 17.3 |
| 3 | PHI | 196 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13.8 |
| 4 | IND | 375 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 27.4 |
| 5 | SF | 389 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27.6 |
| 6 | BAL | 181 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11.3 |
| 7 | JAX | 182 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 27.4 |
| 9 | NO | 281 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | 26.8 |
| 10 | SF | 280 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | 26.9 |
| 11 | SEA | 130 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13.2 |
| 12 | TB | 273 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22.9 |
| 13 | CAR | 243 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 13.6 |
| 14 | ARI | 281 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23.2 |
| 15 | DET | 368 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20.9 |
| 16 | SEA | 457 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 30.9 |
| 17 | ATL | 269 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12.8 |
| 18 | ARI | 259 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 26.7 |