Sam Darnold (Quarterback, SEA) enters the 2026 draft season as our model's QB19, projected for ~232 PPR points (overall rank 113). In the 2025 season they finished as the QB14 in PPR scoring. Projections come from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline for draft research, not a betting edge.
The market drafts Sam Darnold on average 26 spots LATER than our board (ADP rank 139 vs model rank 113) — potential draft value.
Pace assumes a full 17-game season at the player's current modelled per-game rate — it does not account for injury, role changes, suspensions or coaching decisions that can shift usage during the season. Data baseline for research, not a betting edge.
| Scoring | Proj pts | VOR | Tier | Overall | Pos rank | ADP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 232 | -13 | 7 | 113 | QB19 | 144.1 |
| Half-PPR | 232 | -13 | 7 | 114 | QB19 | 148.8 |
| Standard | 232 | -13 | 7 | 120 | QB19 | 150.8 |
| Season | G | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 4048 | 25 | 14 | 35 | 95 | 0 | 243 |
| 2024 | 17 | 4319 | 35 | 12 | 67 | 212 | 1 | 316 |
| 2023 | 10 | 297 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 1 | 25 |
| 2022 | 6 | 1143 | 7 | 3 | 26 | 106 | 2 | 90 |
| 2021 | 12 | 2527 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 222 | 5 | 163 |
| Wk | Opp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | 150 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 7.4 |
| 2 | PIT | 295 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15.8 |
| 3 | NO | 218 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16.7 |
| 4 | ARI | 242 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 16.1 |
| 5 | TB | 341 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27.6 |
| 6 | JAX | 295 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20.0 |
| 7 | HOU | 213 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10.6 |
| 9 | WAS | 330 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27.2 |
| 10 | ARI | 178 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 8.9 |
| 11 | LA | 279 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 4.3 |
| 12 | TEN | 244 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 17.7 |
| 13 | MIN | 128 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.1 |
| 14 | ATL | 249 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 22.3 |
| 15 | IND | 271 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 11.3 |
| 16 | LA | 270 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 15.5 |
| 17 | CAR | 147 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8.1 |
| 18 | SF | 198 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 8.8 |