UFC: Mark Vologdin vs Josias Musasa Preview — Full Card Model Reads & Power Ratings

UFC: Mark Vologdin vs Josias Musasa headlines a card with 26 fights our model has generated pre-fight reads for on August 01, 2026. Below: model win probabilities, method reads and power-rating context for every fight on the main card.

Main event

Mark Vologdin meets Josias Musasa in a fight scheduled for 3 rounds. Our model gives Mark Vologdin a 57% chance to win. Method: 33% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 47% decision — a 48% chance this fight goes the distance.

Card breakdown

• Mark Vologdin vs Josias Musasa: model favours Mark Vologdin at 57% (Elo 1500 vs 1467) Method: 33% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 47% decision — a 48% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Uros Medic vs Daniel Rodriguez: model favours Uros Medic at 60% (Elo 1564 vs 1594) Method: 50% KO/TKO, 6% submission, 44% decision — a 43% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling: model favours Navajo Stirling at 85% (Elo 1582 vs 1573) Method: 33% KO/TKO, 8% submission, 60% decision — a 56% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura: model favours Aleksandar Rakic at 70% (Elo 1522 vs 1557) Method: 38% KO/TKO, 7% submission, 56% decision — a 56% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Dusko Todorovic vs Robert Valentin: model favours Dusko Todorovic at 59% (Elo 1469 vs 1473) Method: 37% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 43% decision — a 42% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Vlasto Cepo vs Gilbert Urbina: model favours Gilbert Urbina at 52% (Elo 1500 vs 1471) Method: 43% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 37% decision — a 35% chance this fight goes the distance.