Value Bet Results — 2026-08-17: 7-10, -6.2 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-17 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 7-10 across 21 bets, -6.2 units, average CLV +1.7pp.

Football

• Cardiff City FC vs Wrexham AFC — Under2.5: ✅ Won (+1.75u, CLV +2.5pp)
• RC Deportivo La Coruña vs Elche CF — Over2.5: ❌ Lost (-2.55u, CLV +4.4pp)
• RC Deportivo La Coruña vs Elche CF — RC Deportivo La Coruña +0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +1.0pp)
• Casa Pia AC vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-3.01u, CLV +1.8pp)

Tennis

• Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli — Flavio Cobolli: ✅ Won (+2.35u, CLV -2.9pp)
• Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landaluce — Under 22.5: ❌ Lost (-1.47u, CLV +3.5pp)
• Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkari — Iga Swiatek: ✅ Won (+0.75u, CLV +0.9pp)
• Diane Parry vs Lois Boisson — Under 21.5: ❌ Lost (-1.20u, CLV +5.6pp)
• Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo — Alejandro Tabilo: ❌ Lost (-1.62u, CLV -1.0pp)
• Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula — Jessica Pegula: ✅ Won (+1.15u, CLV +0.8pp)
• Linda Noskova vs Clara Tauson — Clara Tauson: ❌ Lost (-1.03u, CLV -10.3pp)
• Rinky Hijikata vs Jakub Mensik — Jakub Mensik: ✅ Won (+1.65u, CLV +4.7pp)
• Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Fils — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV -4.7pp)
• Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Fils — Jiri Lehecka: ❌ Lost (-2.10u, CLV +0.4pp)
• Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimova — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u)

Baseball

• Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals — St. Louis Cardinals: ✅ Won (+1.51u, CLV +12.8pp)
• Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles — Baltimore Orioles: ❌ Lost (-0.85u, CLV +8.3pp)
• New York Mets vs San Diego Padres — San Diego Padres: ❌ Lost (-1.47u, CLV +1.4pp)
• Boston Red Sox vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Arizona Diamondbacks: ❌ Lost (-1.67u, CLV +3.2pp)
• Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox — Over 8.5: ✅ Won (+1.66u, CLV +0.0pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.