Value Bet Results — 2026-09-04: 6-4, +8.2 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-09-04 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 6-4 across 11 bets, +8.2 units, average CLV +5.3pp.

Football

• Ipswich Town FC vs Liverpool FC — Under3.0: ✅ Won (+2.47u, CLV +14.7pp)
• FC Porto vs Moreirense FC — Moreirense FC +2.00: ✅ Won (+2.10u, CLV +6.9pp)

Tennis

• Aryna Sabalenka vs Kamilla Rakhimova — Under 18.0: ❌ Lost (-1.55u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova — Under 20.0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — Stefanos Tsitsipas: ✅ Won (+2.94u, CLV +16.0pp)
• Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Mariano Navone — Tomas Martin Etcheverry: ✅ Won (+0.96u, CLV +6.4pp)

Baseball

• Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Angels — Under 8.5: ✅ Won (+1.42u, CLV -2.5pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins — Under 8.5: ✅ Won (+4.17u, CLV +3.3pp)
• Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays — Tampa Bay Rays: ❌ Lost (-1.25u, CLV +9.6pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays — Toronto Blue Jays: ❌ Lost (-2.29u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals — St. Louis Cardinals: ❌ Lost (-0.80u, CLV +5.7pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.