Value Bet Results — 2026-10-18: 5-5, -1.0 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-10-18 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 5-5 across 10 bets, -1.0 units, average CLV +6.1pp.

Football

• DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück — VfL Osnabrück +0: ❌ Lost (-0.99u, CLV +4.3pp)
• CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander — CA Osasuna to win: ✅ Won (+2.62u, CLV +2.0pp)
• Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC — Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win: ✅ Won (+2.49u, CLV +10.5pp)
• AC Milan vs Atalanta BC — AC Milan to win: ✅ Won (+1.40u, CLV +10.4pp)
• Málaga CF vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol — Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win: ✅ Won (+1.93u, CLV +5.7pp)
• SV Meppen vs TSV Havelse — SV Meppen to win: ❌ Lost (-1.92u, CLV +8.7pp)
• FC Twente '65 vs FC Utrecht — FC Twente '65 to win: ❌ Lost (-5.00u, CLV +2.2pp)

7

• Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans — Tennessee Titans: ❌ Lost (-1.38u, CLV +5.2pp)
• Philadelphia Eagles vs Carolina Panthers — Carolina Panthers: ✅ Won (+1.22u, CLV +7.3pp)
• Philadelphia Eagles vs Carolina Panthers — Philadelphia Eagles +3.5: ❌ Lost (-1.35u)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.