Value Bet Results — 2026-08-23: 10-9, +4.3 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-23 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 10-9 across 19 bets, +4.3 units, average CLV +2.6pp.

Football

• Go Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag — Under3.0: ❌ Lost (-1.83u, CLV -0.5pp)
• West Bromwich Albion FC vs Burnley FC — the draw: ❌ Lost (-0.59u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Angers SCO vs Lille OSC — Lille OSC +0: ✅ Won (+1.85u, CLV -1.2pp)
• Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Aston Villa FC — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-1.82u, CLV +10.1pp)
• Manchester City FC vs AFC Bournemouth — Manchester City FC +0: ✅ Won (+1.46u, CLV +5.3pp)
• SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs Feyenoord Rotterdam — Under3.0: ❌ Lost (-2.40u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Le Havre AC vs AS Monaco FC — AS Monaco FC to win: ✅ Won (+1.60u, CLV -3.9pp)
• Newcastle United FC vs Liverpool FC — Liverpool FC -0.50: ❌ Lost (-2.13u, CLV -1.0pp)
• Frosinone Calcio vs Juventus FC — Under2.5: ✅ Won (+4.47u, CLV +18.0pp)
• Venezia FC vs US Lecce — the draw: ❌ Lost (-1.02u, CLV -4.2pp)
• Torino FC vs AC Milan — Over2.25: ✅ Won (+1.80u, CLV -7.0pp)

Tennis

• Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula — Jessica Pegula: ❌ Lost (-2.61u, CLV -4.2pp)

Baseball

• Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays — Tampa Bay Rays: ❌ Lost (-1.47u, CLV +2.1pp)
• Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals — Over 7.5: ✅ Won (+1.55u, CLV +3.1pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets — New York Mets: ✅ Won (+1.93u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers — Detroit Tigers: ✅ Won (+1.85u, CLV +0.0pp)
• San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins — Minnesota Twins: ✅ Won (+1.35u, CLV +5.4pp)
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds — Cincinnati Reds: ✅ Won (+2.30u, CLV +5.8pp)
• Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves — Over 7.5: ❌ Lost (-1.99u, CLV +9.1pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.