Running back is the scarcest position in fantasy: true three-down workhorses barely exist any more, committees eat into touches, and the drop-off from the elite tier to a replacement-level back is the steepest on the board. That scarcity is exactly what value over replacement (VOR) measures β and why RBs still dominate the top of most drafts even in PPR, where pass-catching backs stack a reception floor on top of rushing volume. Hit on your early RB picks and the rest of your draft plays from ahead; miss and you're chasing the waiver wire all season.
Players our board ranks meaningfully higher than the market drafts them β the gap between VOR-based rank and public ADP is where draft value lives.
Tier breaks (T2, T3, β¦) mark real drop-offs in projected value β players inside a tier are close; between tiers the gap is big enough to change your pick.
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% | ADP | β25 finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Christian McCaffrey | SF | 372 | 207 | 37% | 6.6 | RB1 |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | ATL | 364 | 199 | 41% | 2.3 | RB2 |
| 3 | De'Von Achane | MIA | 310 | 145 | 46% | 10.4 | RB5 |
| 4 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 305 | 140 | 35% | 1.5 | RB3 |
| 5 | Saquon Barkley | PHI | 302 | 137 | 38% | 19.1 | RB15 |
| 6 | Chase Brown | CIN | 282 | 118 | 31% | 13.1 | RB8 |
| 7 | T2Derrick Henry | BAL | 266 | 102 | 34% | 16.9 | RB7 |
| 8 | Ashton Jeanty | LV | 262 | 97 | 31% | 19.0 | RB11 |
| 9 | Kyren Williams | LA | 256 | 91 | 41% | 31.7 | RB9 |
| 10 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | 254 | 89 | 38% | 7.5 | RB4 |
| 11 | James Cook | BUF | 236 | 71 | 31% | 12.6 | RB6 |
| 12 | Kenneth Walker III | KC | 228 | 63 | 33% | 21.2 | RB22 |
| 13 | T3Josh Jacobs | GB | 224 | 60 | 32% | 31.2 | RB13 |
| 14 | Tony Pollard | TEN | 218 | 53 | 20% | 69.5 | RB23 |
| 15 | Breece Hall | NYJ | 217 | 52 | 29% | 33.7 | RB19 |
| 16 | Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 216 | 52 | 23% | 62.6 | RB24 |
| 17 | Travis Etienne | NO | 211 | 46 | 29% | 37.0 | RB10 |
| 18 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | 206 | 41 | 36% | 45.3 | RB14 |
| 19 | T4RJ Harvey | DEN | 201 | 36 | 38% | 93.4 | RB20 |
| 20 | Bucky Irving | TB | 201 | 36 | 34% | 45.1 | RB34 |
| 21 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | NYG | 193 | 28 | 20% | 156.3 | RB28 |
| 22 | Aaron Jones | MIN | 190 | 25 | 30% | 104.6 | RB41 |
| 23 | Woody Marks | HOU | 185 | 20 | 20% | 139.5 | RB30 |
| 24 | Javonte Williams | DAL | 180 | 16 | 26% | 37.1 | RB12 |
| 25 | T5Alvin Kamara | NO | 177 | 12 | 29% | 151.3 | RB46 |
| 26 | Rico Dowdle | PIT | 177 | 12 | 23% | 74.9 | RB17 |
| 27 | Chuba Hubbard | CAR | 177 | 12 | 21% | 81.4 | RB38 |
| 28 | Jaylen Warren | PIT | 173 | 8 | 17% | 60.8 | RB18 |
| 29 | David Montgomery | HOU | 166 | 2 | 37% | 57.8 | RB27 |
| 30 | Zach Charbonnet | SEA | 165 | 0 | 28% | 132.3 | RB25 |
| 31 | T6Quinshon Judkins | CLE | 163 | -1 | 20% | 50.5 | RB26 |
| 32 | Rachaad White | WAS | 149 | -16 | 19% | 114.7 | RB32 |
| 33 | Kenneth Gainwell | TB | 146 | -19 | 27% | β | RB16 |
| 34 | James Conner | ARI | 144 | -20 | 43% | 172.3 | RB79 |
| 35 | Kareem Hunt | KC | 144 | -21 | 27% | β | RB29 |
| 36 | J.K. Dobbins | DEN | 139 | -26 | 25% | 86.9 | RB43 |
| 37 | T7TreVeyon Henderson | NE | 137 | -28 | 11% | 64.1 | RB21 |
| 38 | Cam Skattebo | NYG | 135 | -30 | 42% | 38.9 | RB37 |
| 39 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | 129 | -36 | 27% | 114.5 | RB31 |
| 40 | Omarion Hampton | LAC | 128 | -37 | 44% | 22.8 | RB35 |
| 41 | Devin Singletary | NYG | 124 | -40 | 21% | β | RB45 |
| 42 | Dylan Sampson | CLE | 117 | -48 | 16% | 160.4 | RB54 |
| 43 | T8Michael Carter | TEN | 116 | -49 | 16% | β | RB48 |
| 44 | Tyjae Spears | TEN | 115 | -50 | 21% | 129.6 | RB44 |
| 45 | Jordan Mason | MIN | 107 | -58 | 14% | 115.9 | RB36 |
| 46 | Najee Harris | LAC | 106 | -58 | 30% | 167.0 | RB101 |
| 47 | Tyler Allgeier | ARI | 105 | -60 | 17% | 155.7 | RB39 |
| 48 | Kyle Monangai | CHI | 105 | -60 | 17% | 110.2 | RB33 |
| 49 | T9Ty Johnson | BUF | 100 | -64 | 17% | 182.1 | RB47 |
| 50 | Bam Knight | ARI | 97 | -67 | 26% | β | RB49 |
| 51 | Isiah Pacheco | DET | 97 | -67 | 20% | 152.3 | RB56 |
| 52 | Justice Hill | BAL | 97 | -68 | 16% | 170.8 | RB60 |
| 53 | Brian Robinson | ATL | 96 | -69 | 14% | 159.9 | RB62 |
| 54 | Kimani Vidal | LAC | 91 | -74 | 15% | 162.1 | RB42 |
| 55 | T10Austin Ekeler | WAS | 87 | -78 | 27% | β | RB100 |
| 56 | Nick Chubb | HOU | 84 | -81 | 26% | β | RB55 |
| 57 | Samaje Perine | CIN | 84 | -81 | 14% | 155.8 | RB57 |
| 58 | Tank Bigsby | PHI | 84 | -81 | 13% | 162.5 | RB68 |
| 59 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | JAX | 84 | -81 | 21% | 157.7 | RB51 |
| 60 | Ray Davis | BUF | 84 | -81 | 13% | 166.8 | RB65 |
| 61 | T11Jerome Ford | WAS | 82 | -83 | 14% | β | RB71 |
| 62 | Isaiah Davis | NYJ | 82 | -83 | 11% | β | RB59 |
| 63 | Emanuel Wilson | SEA | 81 | -84 | 10% | β | RB50 |
| 64 | Sean Tucker | TB | 78 | -87 | 24% | β | RB52 |
| 65 | Jeremy McNichols | WAS | 76 | -89 | 14% | β | RB58 |
| 66 | Blake Corum | LA | 70 | -95 | 9% | 122.5 | RB40 |
| 67 | T12Devin Neal | NO | 68 | -96 | 16% | β | RB64 |
| 68 | Ameer Abdullah | JAX | 68 | -97 | 12% | β | RB74 |
| 69 | Bhayshul Tuten | JAX | 67 | -98 | 31% | 52.4 | RB53 |
| 70 | Keaton Mitchell | LAC | 65 | -100 | 12% | 158.0 | RB66 |
| 71 | Brashard Smith | KC | 62 | -102 | 9% | β | RB61 |
| 72 | Emari Demercado | KC | 60 | -105 | 11% | 141.5 | RB63 |
| 73 | T13Antonio Gibson | NE | 59 | -105 | 19% | β | RB93 |
| 74 | Jaleel McLaughlin | DEN | 58 | -106 | 9% | β | RB81 |
| 75 | Cam Akers | SEA | 55 | -110 | 13% | β | RB112 |
| 76 | Chris Brooks | GB | 54 | -111 | 8% | β | RB80 |
| 77 | Miles Sanders | DAL | 53 | -111 | 18% | β | RB84 |
| 78 | Raheem Mostert | LV | 53 | -112 | 18% | β | RB83 |
| 79 | T14Hunter Luepke | DAL | 53 | -112 | 8% | β | RB75 |
| 80 | Audric EstimΓ© | NO | 52 | -113 | 16% | β | RB70 |
| 81 | Braelon Allen | NYJ | 48 | -117 | 12% | 156.8 | RB94 |
| 82 | Zavier Scott | MIN | 48 | -117 | 9% | β | RB72 |
| 83 | Ollie Gordon II | MIA | 46 | -119 | 15% | β | RB67 |
| 84 | Trey Benson | ARI | 45 | -119 | 13% | β | RB76 |
| 85 | T15Jaylen Wright | MIA | 44 | -121 | 13% | β | RB69 |
| 86 | Dare Ogunbowale | HOU | 44 | -121 | 10% | β | RB85 |
| 87 | Tyler Badie | DEN | 42 | -123 | 8% | β | RB77 |
| 88 | Isaac Guerendo | SF | 41 | -124 | 10% | β | RB142 |
| 89 | Jawhar Jordan | HOU | 39 | -125 | 10% | β | RB82 |
| 90 | Malik Davis | DAL | 37 | -128 | 13% | β | RB73 |
| 91 | T16Kendre Miller | NO | 36 | -129 | 10% | β | RB78 |
| 92 | Roschon Johnson | CHI | 34 | -131 | 12% | β | RB128 |
| 93 | Rasheen Ali | BAL | 33 | -132 | 12% | β | RB88 |
| 94 | LeQuint Allen Jr. | JAX | 33 | -132 | 7% | β | RB87 |
| 95 | Andrew Beck | NYJ | 32 | -133 | 9% | β | RB89 |
| 96 | Will Shipley | PHI | 32 | -133 | 7% | β | RB92 |
| 97 | T17Trey Sermon | PIT | 26 | -138 | 9% | β | RB147 |
| 98 | Dameon Pierce | PHI | 26 | -139 | 11% | β | RB123 |
| 99 | Tyler Goodson | ATL | 25 | -140 | 8% | β | RB118 |
| 100 | Zamir White | LV | 24 | -140 | 8% | β | RB106 |
| 101 | Khalil Herbert | NYJ | 23 | -142 | 12% | β | RB113 |
| 102 | Trayveon Williams | CLE | 23 | -142 | 8% | β | RB95 |
| 103 | T18Jaret Patterson | LAC | 21 | -144 | 10% | β | RB86 |
| 104 | Ty Chandler | NO | 20 | -145 | 10% | β | RB110 |
| 105 | George Holani | SEA | 20 | -145 | 7% | β | RB96 |
| 106 | Raheim Sanders | CLE | 20 | -145 | 20% | β | RB91 |
| 107 | Hassan Haskins | LAC | 19 | -145 | 12% | β | RB104 |
| 108 | Dylan Laube | LV | 19 | -145 | 8% | β | RB117 |
| 109 | T19Tahj Brooks | CIN | 19 | -146 | 9% | β | RB115 |
| 110 | Adam Prentice | DEN | 19 | -146 | 6% | β | RB97 |
| 111 | AJ Dillon | CAR | 18 | -146 | 11% | β | RB102 |
| 112 | Kaleb Johnson | PIT | 18 | -147 | 9% | β | RB109 |
| 113 | D'Ernest Johnson | NE | 17 | -147 | 7% | β | RB125 |
| 114 | Terrell Jennings | NE | 17 | -148 | 12% | β | RB98 |
| 115 | T20Julius Chestnut | TEN | 17 | -148 | 8% | β | RB122 |
| 116 | Jaydon Blue | DAL | 16 | -148 | 9% | 163.3 | RB90 |
| 117 | Evan Hull | HOU | 14 | -151 | 8% | β | RB114 |
| 118 | DJ Giddens | IND | 14 | -151 | 7% | β | RB107 |
| 119 | Craig Reynolds | DET | 13 | -151 | 7% | β | RB136 |
| 120 | Jordan Mims | SF | 13 | -152 | 15% | β | RB139 |
| 121 | T21Corey Kiner | ARI | 13 | -152 | 8% | β | RB108 |
| 122 | Kene Nwangwu | NYJ | 11 | -153 | 8% | β | RB119 |
| 123 | Ronnie Rivers | LA | 11 | -154 | 7% | β | RB120 |
| 124 | Eric Gray | NYG | 11 | -154 | 9% | β | RB144 |
| 125 | Jacob Saylors | DET | 10 | -154 | 8% | β | RB130 |
| 126 | British Brooks | HOU | 10 | -155 | 7% | β | RB111 |
| 127 | T22DeeJay Dallas | JAX | 10 | -155 | 12% | β | RB126 |
| 128 | Travis Homer | PIT | 9 | -156 | 8% | β | RB150 |
| 129 | Sione Vaki | DET | 9 | -156 | 8% | β | RB135 |
| 130 | Trevor Etienne | CAR | 9 | -156 | 8% | β | RB99 |
| 131 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire | KC | 8 | -156 | 16% | β | RB121 |
| 132 | Chase Edmonds | WAS | 7 | -158 | 9% | β | RB141 |
| 133 | T23Elijah Mitchell | PHI | 5 | -160 | 28% | β | RB145 |
| 134 | Velus Jones Jr. | SEA | 4 | -161 | 8% | β | RB124 |
| 135 | Kalel Mullings | TEN | 4 | -161 | 8% | β | RB132 |
| 136 | Nyheim Hines | NO | 4 | -161 | 9% | β | RB151 |
| 137 | Gary Brightwell | CIN | 3 | -162 | 9% | β | RB148 |
| 138 | Myles Gaskin | SEA | 2 | -162 | 19% | β | RB133 |
| 139 | T24Robbie Ouzts | SEA | 2 | -163 | 7% | β | RB140 |
| 140 | Avery Williams | NYJ | 2 | -163 | 10% | β | RB143 |
| TMike Washington Jr. | LV | β | β | β | 145.9 | β | |
| Jeremiyah Love | ARI | β | β | β | 27.1 | β | |
| Jadarian Price | SEA | β | β | β | 73.9 | β | |
| Dean Connors | LAR | β | β | β | 170.4 | β | |
| Jonathon Brooks | CAR | β | β | β | 92.5 | β | |
| Kaelon Black | SF | β | β | β | 159.9 | β | |
| Emmett Johnson | KC | β | β | β | 157.7 | β | |
| Jordan James | SF | β | β | β | 154.8 | β | |
| MarShawn Lloyd | GB | β | β | β | 150.4 | β | |
| Jonah Coleman | DEN | β | β | β | 149.1 | β |
Data baseline from the projection models Β· refreshed 30 Aug 2026.
Per-game projections from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength β a data baseline, not a betting edge. Rookies without NFL production are placed by market ADP, not model-projected. For entertainment / draft research β 18+.
Usually yes β but for a different reason than in Standard. PPR softens pure rushing volume, yet the backs at the top of this board catch passes too, so their projected points barely drop while their scarcity stays extreme. VOR, not raw points, is what makes an elite RB a first-round pick: the gap to a replacement back is the biggest positional gap in fantasy. From the mid-rounds on, the position flattens fast and WRs typically offer better value per pick.
A handcuff is the direct backup to a workhorse back β the player who inherits a bell-cow role if the starter goes down. Because RB value is so concentrated in volume, a good handcuff is one injury away from RB2-or-better production. Late in drafts, handcuffs to fragile or aging workhorses (especially your own) are among the highest-upside picks available; our tiers help spot which backfields have a clear next man up.
It's the model's anytime-touchdown probability for a typical game. Touchdowns are the most volatile part of RB scoring β two backs with similar yardage projections can differ by several points per game purely on goal-line role. A high TD% flags backs whose teams give them the valuable short-yardage and red-zone work, which is stickier than it looks year over year.