Tight end is the most top-heavy position in fantasy: a handful of every-week difference-makers, then a wasteland of touchdown-dependent dart throws. That shape makes value over replacement (VOR) spike for the elite tier — a top TE beats the streaming pool by more than most 'higher-scoring' players at other positions beat theirs — and collapse fast right after it. The classic draft decision follows directly from the table below: pay up for one of the few elites while their tier lasts, or punt the position entirely and stream matchups off the wire.
Players our board ranks meaningfully higher than the market drafts them — the gap between VOR-based rank and public ADP is where draft value lives.
Tier breaks (T2, T3, …) mark real drop-offs in projected value — players inside a tier are close; between tiers the gap is big enough to change your pick.
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% | ADP | ’25 finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Trey McBride | ARI | 264 | 116 | 36% | 29.1 | TE1 |
| 2 | Brock Bowers | LV | 211 | 63 | 31% | 35.2 | TE11 |
| 3 | Travis Kelce | KC | 209 | 61 | 28% | 103.3 | TE3 |
| 4 | Colston Loveland | CHI | 207 | 59 | 29% | 56.5 | TE12 |
| 5 | T2Harold Fannin Jr. | CLE | 204 | 56 | 33% | 77.7 | TE6 |
| 6 | George Kittle | SF | 197 | 49 | 31% | 105.4 | TE13 |
| 7 | Kyle Pitts | ATL | 192 | 44 | 29% | 76.0 | TE2 |
| 8 | Dallas Goedert | PHI | 186 | 38 | 31% | 102.0 | TE7 |
| 9 | T3Tyler Warren | IND | 177 | 29 | 25% | 65.4 | TE5 |
| 10 | Mark Andrews | BAL | 176 | 28 | 26% | 128.3 | TE17 |
| 11 | Zach Ertz | WAS | 173 | 25 | 29% | — | TE20 |
| 12 | Juwan Johnson | NO | 156 | 8 | 22% | 149.5 | TE8 |
| 13 | T4Hunter Henry | NE | 149 | 1 | 23% | 156.5 | TE9 |
| 14 | T.J. Hockenson | MIN | 148 | 0 | 23% | 163.7 | TE26 |
| 15 | Dalton Schultz | HOU | 147 | -1 | 21% | 161.0 | TE10 |
| 16 | Sam LaPorta | DET | 146 | -2 | 31% | 117.9 | TE27 |
| 17 | T5Pat Freiermuth | PIT | 144 | -4 | 22% | 177.3 | TE25 |
| 18 | Chig Okonkwo | WAS | 140 | -8 | 21% | 163.1 | TE21 |
| 19 | Jake Ferguson | DAL | 135 | -13 | 21% | 132.8 | TE4 |
| 20 | Jonnu Smith | PIT | 133 | -15 | 15% | — | TE35 |
| 21 | T6Theo Johnson | NYG | 132 | -16 | 23% | — | TE18 |
| 22 | Oronde Gadsden II | LAC | 130 | -18 | 21% | — | TE15 |
| 23 | Tucker Kraft | GB | 126 | -22 | 31% | 100.4 | TE24 |
| 24 | Evan Engram | DEN | 125 | -23 | 17% | — | TE28 |
| 25 | T7Cade Otton | TB | 123 | -26 | 18% | — | TE22 |
| 26 | Gunnar Helm | TEN | 121 | -27 | 19% | — | TE31 |
| 27 | Isaiah Likely | NYG | 118 | -30 | 23% | 136.4 | TE44 |
| 28 | Dalton Kincaid | BUF | 116 | -32 | 21% | 148.3 | TE19 |
| 29 | T8Mike Gesicki | CIN | 108 | -40 | 19% | — | TE41 |
| 30 | Brenton Strange | JAX | 105 | -43 | 22% | 165.0 | TE23 |
| 31 | Colby Parkinson | LA | 103 | -45 | 19% | — | TE16 |
| 32 | Cole Kmet | CHI | 103 | -45 | 15% | — | TE37 |
| 33 | T9Mason Taylor | NYJ | 103 | -45 | 20% | — | TE33 |
| 34 | AJ Barner | SEA | 103 | -45 | 21% | 158.9 | TE14 |
| 35 | Dawson Knox | BUF | 98 | -51 | 20% | — | TE29 |
| 36 | David Njoku | LAC | 96 | -53 | 23% | 153.0 | TE34 |
| 37 | T10Taysom Hill | NO | 94 | -54 | 18% | — | TE58 |
| 38 | Tyler Higbee | LA | 93 | -55 | 15% | — | TE40 |
| 39 | Austin Hooper | ATL | 84 | -65 | 14% | — | TE48 |
| 40 | Darren Waller | MIA | 81 | -67 | 24% | — | TE32 |
| 41 | T11Tommy Tremble | CAR | 80 | -68 | 17% | — | TE43 |
| 42 | Noah Gray | KC | 78 | -70 | 11% | — | TE60 |
| 43 | Noah Fant | NO | 77 | -71 | 12% | — | TE36 |
| 44 | Elijah Higgins | ARI | 75 | -73 | 11% | — | TE46 |
| 45 | T12Michael Mayer | LV | 72 | -76 | 18% | — | TE38 |
| 46 | Luke Musgrave | GB | 72 | -77 | 12% | — | TE53 |
| 47 | Davis Allen | LA | 71 | -77 | 15% | — | TE45 |
| 48 | Will Dissly | LAC | 68 | -80 | 12% | — | TE76 |
| 49 | T13Tyler Conklin | DET | 68 | -80 | 11% | — | TE81 |
| 50 | Jake Tonges | SF | 65 | -83 | 30% | — | TE30 |
| 51 | Ja'Tavion Sanders | CAR | 65 | -83 | 12% | — | TE50 |
| 52 | Greg Dulcich | MIA | 64 | -84 | 19% | 176.9 | TE42 |
| 53 | T14Darnell Washington | PIT | 62 | -86 | 12% | — | TE39 |
| 54 | Foster Moreau | HOU | 60 | -88 | 14% | — | TE87 |
| 55 | Mitchell Evans | CAR | 59 | -89 | 13% | — | TE54 |
| 56 | Jeremy Ruckert | NYJ | 58 | -91 | 12% | — | TE56 |
| 57 | T15Terrance Ferguson | LA | 57 | -91 | 17% | 164.7 | TE52 |
| 58 | Josh Oliver | MIN | 56 | -92 | 16% | — | TE49 |
| 59 | Daniel Bellinger | TEN | 55 | -93 | 14% | — | TE47 |
| 60 | Luke Schoonmaker | DAL | 54 | -94 | 9% | — | TE71 |
| 61 | T16Adam Trautman | DEN | 51 | -97 | 11% | — | TE57 |
| 62 | Jackson Hawes | BUF | 47 | -101 | 15% | — | TE51 |
| 63 | Johnny Mundt | PHI | 45 | -103 | 9% | — | TE77 |
| 64 | Elijah Arroyo | SEA | 44 | -104 | 11% | — | TE59 |
| 65 | T17Grant Calcaterra | PHI | 42 | -106 | 8% | — | TE75 |
| 66 | Drew Sample | CIN | 41 | -107 | 8% | — | TE64 |
| 67 | Tanner Hudson | CIN | 41 | -107 | 11% | — | TE55 |
| 68 | Mo Alie-Cox | IND | 39 | -109 | 12% | — | TE66 |
| 69 | T18Cade Stover | HOU | 38 | -110 | 9% | — | TE78 |
| 70 | Brock Wright | DET | 38 | -110 | 18% | — | TE61 |
| 71 | Connor Heyward | LV | 38 | -110 | 12% | — | TE69 |
| 72 | Brevyn Spann-Ford | DAL | 38 | -110 | 7% | — | TE74 |
| 73 | T19Josh Whyle | GB | 37 | -111 | 12% | — | TE84 |
| 74 | John FitzPatrick | GB | 37 | -111 | 10% | — | TE72 |
| 75 | Ben Sinnott | WAS | 36 | -112 | 16% | — | TE68 |
| 76 | Charlie Kolar | LAC | 32 | -116 | 9% | — | TE62 |
| 77 | T20Julian Hill | NE | 32 | -116 | 9% | — | TE67 |
| 78 | Quintin Morris | JAX | 32 | -117 | 11% | — | TE80 |
| 79 | Nate Adkins | DEN | 31 | -117 | 12% | — | TE82 |
| 80 | Ian Thomas | LV | 29 | -119 | 9% | — | TE73 |
| 81 | T21John Bates | WAS | 29 | -119 | 8% | — | TE70 |
| 82 | Eric Saubert | SEA | 26 | -122 | 8% | — | TE97 |
| 83 | Tanner Conner | NYG | 26 | -122 | 10% | — | TE79 |
| 84 | Hunter Long | JAX | 26 | -122 | 13% | — | TE63 |
| 85 | T22Kylen Granson | TEN | 25 | -123 | 6% | — | TE92 |
| 86 | Stone Smartt | PHI | 25 | -123 | 8% | — | TE90 |
| 87 | Payne Durham | TB | 24 | -124 | 9% | — | TE115 |
| 88 | Jack Stoll | CLE | 23 | -126 | 8% | — | TE83 |
| 89 | T23Andrew Ogletree | IND | 22 | -126 | 10% | — | TE89 |
| 90 | Lucas Krull | DEN | 22 | -127 | 10% | — | TE106 |
| 91 | Charlie Woerner | ATL | 20 | -128 | 10% | — | TE88 |
| 92 | Luke Farrell | SF | 20 | -128 | 6% | — | TE65 |
| 93 | T24Anthony Firkser | WAS | 19 | -129 | 11% | — | TE85 |
| 94 | Harrison Bryant | SEA | 18 | -131 | 10% | — | TE111 |
| 95 | Blake Whiteheart | CLE | 18 | -131 | 7% | — | TE114 |
| 96 | David Martin-Robinson | TEN | 17 | -131 | 7% | — | TE86 |
| 97 | T25Durham Smythe | BAL | 16 | -132 | 6% | — | TE98 |
| 98 | Devin Culp | TB | 16 | -133 | 9% | — | TE95 |
| 99 | Colson Yankoff | WAS | 15 | -133 | 7% | — | TE104 |
| 100 | Cameron Latu | PHI | 14 | -134 | 8% | — | TE127 |
| 101 | T26Tucker Fisk | LAC | 14 | -134 | 7% | — | TE103 |
| 102 | Feleipe Franks | CAR | 14 | -134 | 8% | — | TE124 |
| 103 | Brenden Bates | CLE | 12 | -136 | 8% | — | TE93 |
| 104 | Josiah Deguara | ARI | 12 | -136 | 7% | — | TE91 |
| 105 | T27Ross Dwelley | DET | 12 | -136 | 11% | — | TE112 |
| 106 | Pharaoh Brown | ARI | 12 | -136 | 7% | — | TE116 |
| 107 | Jelani Woods | NYJ | 11 | -137 | 16% | — | TE118 |
| 108 | Tip Reiman | ARI | 11 | -137 | 10% | — | TE102 |
| 109 | T28Ben Yurosek | MIN | 10 | -138 | 6% | — | TE107 |
| 110 | James Mitchell | CAR | 9 | -139 | 8% | — | TE100 |
| 111 | Chris Manhertz | NYG | 9 | -139 | 7% | — | TE117 |
| 112 | Ben Sims | MIA | 9 | -139 | 9% | — | TE99 |
| 113 | T29Jack Westover | NE | 8 | -140 | 7% | — | TE123 |
| 114 | Brayden Willis | SF | 8 | -140 | 9% | — | TE131 |
| 115 | Robert Tonyan | PIT | 8 | -141 | 14% | — | TE122 |
| 116 | Cam Grandy | CIN | 7 | -141 | 7% | — | TE110 |
| 117 | T30Teagan Quitoriano | ARI | 7 | -141 | 12% | — | TE128 |
| 118 | Ko Kieft | TB | 6 | -142 | 12% | — | TE129 |
| 119 | Nick Kallerup | SEA | 6 | -142 | 7% | — | TE136 |
| 120 | Will Mallory | IND | 6 | -142 | 9% | — | TE113 |
| 121 | T31Giovanni Ricci | DET | 5 | -143 | 8% | — | TE126 |
| 122 | Albert Okwuegbunam | LV | 4 | -144 | 14% | — | TE94 |
| 123 | Shane Zylstra | BUF | 4 | -144 | 14% | — | TE101 |
| 124 | Marcedes Lewis | DEN | 3 | -145 | 12% | — | TE125 |
| TKenyon Sadiq | NYJ | — | — | — | 157.9 | — |
Data baseline from the projection models · refreshed 30 Aug 2026.
Per-game projections from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline, not a betting edge. Rookies without NFL production are placed by market ADP, not model-projected. For entertainment / draft research — 18+.
Both are defensible — what loses is the middle. The elite tier's VOR justifies a genuinely early pick because the weekly edge over a streamed TE is large and repeatable. Once that tier is gone, the projected gap between TE8 and TE18 is often smaller than one bench RB's upside, so spending a mid-round pick there is the worst of both worlds. Our tier breaks show exactly where the cliff is; after it, wait and stream.
Because TE scoring is the most touchdown-dependent of any position. Outside the elite target earners, most TEs project for 3–6 targets a game — the difference between a usable week and a zero is usually one red-zone throw. The TD% column (the model's anytime-TD probability) flags which TEs get real red-zone routes rather than just snaps, which is the stickiest part of their role year over year.
Playing the position week to week off the waiver wire instead of rostering one starter: each week you pick the available TE with the best matchup — a bad opposing defense against TEs, a projected shootout, or an injury that funnels red-zone targets his way. Because replacement-level TEs are close together, a well-picked stream loses surprisingly little to a mid-tier 'set-and-forget' TE and costs you a roster spot instead of a draft pick.