Tight end is the most top-heavy position in fantasy: a handful of every-week difference-makers, then a wasteland of touchdown-dependent dart throws. That shape makes value over replacement (VOR) spike for the elite tier — a top TE beats the streaming pool by more than most 'higher-scoring' players at other positions beat theirs — and collapse fast right after it. The classic draft decision follows directly from the table below: pay up for one of the few elites while their tier lasts, or punt the position entirely and stream matchups off the wire.
Players our board ranks meaningfully higher than the market drafts them — the gap between VOR-based rank and public ADP is where draft value lives.
Tier breaks (T2, T3, …) mark real drop-offs in projected value — players inside a tier are close; between tiers the gap is big enough to change your pick.
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% | ADP | ’25 finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Trey McBride | ARI | 151 | 56 | 36% | 49.0 | TE1 |
| 2 | Kyle Pitts | ATL | 136 | 41 | 29% | 114.6 | TE3 |
| 3 | Colston Loveland | CHI | 130 | 35 | 29% | 59.7 | TE10 |
| 4 | Travis Kelce | KC | 127 | 33 | 30% | — | TE6 |
| 5 | T2Harold Fannin Jr. | CLE | 125 | 30 | 33% | — | TE5 |
| 6 | Dallas Goedert | PHI | 124 | 29 | 31% | 133.9 | TE2 |
| 7 | Mark Andrews | BAL | 113 | 18 | 26% | 123.2 | TE19 |
| 8 | Tyler Warren | IND | 110 | 16 | 25% | 72.5 | TE7 |
| 9 | T3George Kittle | SF | 105 | 10 | 31% | 103.2 | TE12 |
| 10 | Brock Bowers | LV | 100 | 5 | 31% | 49.2 | TE8 |
| 11 | Juwan Johnson | NO | 98 | 3 | 22% | — | TE11 |
| 12 | Zach Ertz | WAS | 97 | 3 | 29% | — | TE21 |
| 13 | T4Dalton Schultz | HOU | 95 | 0 | 21% | — | TE13 |
| 14 | Hunter Henry | NE | 95 | 0 | 23% | 146.9 | TE4 |
| 15 | Chig Okonkwo | TEN | 90 | -5 | 21% | — | TE24 |
| 16 | T.J. Hockenson | MIN | 89 | -6 | 23% | — | TE29 |
| 17 | T5Theo Johnson | NYG | 89 | -6 | 23% | — | TE20 |
| 18 | Oronde Gadsden II | LAC | 83 | -12 | 21% | — | TE18 |
| 19 | Jake Ferguson | DAL | 82 | -13 | 21% | — | TE9 |
| 20 | Pat Freiermuth | PIT | 81 | -14 | 22% | — | TE22 |
| 21 | T6Evan Engram | DEN | 70 | -25 | 17% | — | TE32 |
| 22 | Dalton Kincaid | BUF | 70 | -25 | 21% | 144.8 | TE16 |
| 23 | Gunnar Helm | TEN | 70 | -25 | 19% | — | TE33 |
| 24 | Colby Parkinson | LA | 70 | -25 | 19% | — | TE15 |
| 25 | T7Dawson Knox | BUF | 69 | -26 | 20% | — | TE26 |
| 26 | AJ Barner | SEA | 69 | -26 | 21% | — | TE14 |
| 27 | Brenton Strange | JAX | 67 | -28 | 22% | — | TE23 |
| 28 | Cade Otton | TB | 63 | -32 | 18% | — | TE28 |
| 29 | T8Sam LaPorta | DET | 63 | -32 | 31% | 85.2 | TE25 |
| 30 | Jonnu Smith | PIT | 60 | -35 | 15% | — | TE34 |
| 31 | Mason Taylor | NYJ | 59 | -36 | 20% | — | TE38 |
| 32 | Isaiah Likely | BAL | 58 | -37 | 23% | 148.4 | TE49 |
| 33 | T9Cole Kmet | CHI | 55 | -39 | 15% | — | TE36 |
| 34 | Tucker Kraft | GB | 55 | -40 | 31% | 77.6 | TE17 |
| 35 | Taysom Hill | NO | 53 | -42 | 18% | — | TE51 |
| 36 | Tyler Higbee | LA | 52 | -43 | 15% | — | TE37 |
| 37 | T10Michael Mayer | LV | 52 | -43 | 18% | — | TE44 |
| 38 | Darren Waller | MIA | 51 | -44 | 24% | — | TE27 |
| 39 | Luke Musgrave | GB | 51 | -44 | 12% | — | TE57 |
| 40 | Mike Gesicki | CIN | 50 | -45 | 19% | — | TE39 |
| 41 | T11Davis Allen | LA | 48 | -47 | 15% | — | TE46 |
| 42 | Tommy Tremble | CAR | 47 | -48 | 17% | — | TE48 |
| 43 | Elijah Higgins | ARI | 47 | -48 | 11% | — | TE52 |
| 44 | Greg Dulcich | MIA | 44 | -51 | 19% | — | TE45 |
| 45 | T12David Njoku | CLE | 42 | -53 | 23% | — | TE31 |
| 46 | Austin Hooper | NE | 42 | -53 | 14% | — | TE47 |
| 47 | Darnell Washington | PIT | 41 | -54 | 12% | — | TE40 |
| 48 | Jeremy Ruckert | NYJ | 41 | -54 | 12% | — | TE61 |
| 49 | T13Jake Tonges | SF | 40 | -55 | 30% | — | TE30 |
| 50 | Noah Fant | CIN | 38 | -57 | 12% | — | TE35 |
| 51 | Terrance Ferguson | LA | 37 | -58 | 17% | — | TE41 |
| 52 | Mitchell Evans | CAR | 37 | -58 | 13% | — | TE53 |
| 53 | T14Noah Gray | KC | 34 | -61 | 11% | — | TE65 |
| 54 | Daniel Bellinger | NYG | 33 | -62 | 14% | — | TE42 |
| 55 | Josh Oliver | MIN | 33 | -62 | 16% | — | TE43 |
| 56 | Adam Trautman | DEN | 32 | -63 | 11% | — | TE56 |
| 57 | T15Ja'Tavion Sanders | CAR | 32 | -63 | 12% | — | TE58 |
| 58 | Connor Heyward | PIT | 30 | -65 | 12% | — | TE59 |
| 59 | Jackson Hawes | BUF | 30 | -65 | 15% | — | TE50 |
| 60 | Luke Schoonmaker | DAL | 27 | -68 | 9% | — | TE74 |
| 61 | T16Elijah Arroyo | SEA | 27 | -68 | 11% | — | TE60 |
| 62 | Mo Alie-Cox | IND | 26 | -69 | 12% | — | TE66 |
| 63 | Johnny Mundt | JAX | 25 | -70 | 9% | — | TE77 |
| 64 | Drew Sample | CIN | 25 | -70 | 8% | — | TE68 |
| 65 | T17Ben Sinnott | WAS | 24 | -71 | 16% | — | TE67 |
| 66 | Brock Wright | DET | 24 | -71 | 18% | — | TE62 |
| 67 | Tanner Hudson | CIN | 23 | -72 | 11% | — | TE54 |
| 68 | John FitzPatrick | GB | 23 | -72 | 10% | — | TE73 |
| 69 | T18Brevyn Spann-Ford | DAL | 23 | -72 | 7% | — | TE70 |
| 70 | Julian Hill | MIA | 23 | -72 | 9% | — | TE71 |
| 71 | Will Dissly | LAC | 21 | -74 | 12% | — | TE81 |
| 72 | Quintin Morris | JAX | 19 | -76 | 11% | — | TE75 |
| 73 | T19Ian Thomas | LV | 19 | -76 | 9% | — | TE76 |
| 74 | Charlie Kolar | BAL | 19 | -76 | 9% | — | TE55 |
| 75 | Cade Stover | HOU | 18 | -77 | 9% | — | TE87 |
| 76 | Hunter Long | JAX | 18 | -77 | 13% | — | TE63 |
| 77 | T20John Bates | WAS | 18 | -77 | 8% | — | TE69 |
| 78 | Foster Moreau | NO | 18 | -77 | 14% | — | TE89 |
| 79 | Tyler Conklin | LAC | 16 | -78 | 11% | — | TE80 |
| 80 | Grant Calcaterra | PHI | 16 | -79 | 8% | — | TE72 |
| 81 | T21Tanner Conner | MIA | 16 | -79 | 10% | — | TE83 |
| 82 | Charlie Woerner | ATL | 14 | -81 | 10% | — | TE92 |
| 83 | Jack Stoll | NO | 14 | -81 | 8% | — | TE79 |
| 84 | Andrew Ogletree | IND | 13 | -81 | 10% | — | TE85 |
| 85 | T22Eric Saubert | SEA | 13 | -82 | 8% | — | TE97 |
| 86 | Nate Adkins | DEN | 13 | -82 | 12% | — | TE78 |
| 87 | Kylen Granson | PHI | 13 | -82 | 6% | — | TE94 |
| 88 | Josh Whyle | GB | 13 | -82 | 12% | — | TE82 |
| 89 | T23David Martin-Robinson | TEN | 11 | -83 | 7% | — | TE84 |
| 90 | Anthony Firkser | DET | 11 | -84 | 11% | — | TE90 |
| 91 | Luke Farrell | SF | 11 | -84 | 6% | — | TE64 |
| 92 | Stone Smartt | NYJ | 11 | -84 | 8% | — | TE91 |
| 93 | T24Blake Whiteheart | CLE | 10 | -85 | 7% | — | TE119 |
| 94 | Feleipe Franks | ATL | 10 | -85 | 8% | — | TE117 |
| 95 | Harrison Bryant | HOU | 10 | -85 | 10% | — | TE113 |
| 96 | Colson Yankoff | WAS | 10 | -85 | 7% | — | TE103 |
| 97 | T25Durham Smythe | CHI | 10 | -85 | 6% | — | TE100 |
| 98 | Cameron Latu | PHI | 9 | -86 | 8% | — | TE127 |
| 99 | Payne Durham | TB | 9 | -86 | 9% | — | TE109 |
| 100 | Brenden Bates | CLE | 8 | -87 | 8% | — | TE93 |
| 101 | T26Ross Dwelley | DET | 8 | -87 | 11% | — | TE114 |
| 102 | Devin Culp | TB | 8 | -87 | 9% | — | TE88 |
| 103 | Josiah Deguara | ARI | 8 | -87 | 7% | — | TE86 |
| 104 | Tucker Fisk | LAC | 8 | -87 | 7% | — | TE102 |
| 105 | T27Jelani Woods | NYJ | 7 | -88 | 16% | — | TE116 |
| 106 | Tip Reiman | ARI | 6 | -89 | 10% | — | TE104 |
| 107 | Ben Yurosek | MIN | 6 | -89 | 6% | — | TE108 |
| 108 | Pharaoh Brown | ARI | 6 | -89 | 7% | — | TE123 |
| 109 | T28Brayden Willis | SF | 6 | -89 | 9% | — | TE131 |
| 110 | James Mitchell | CAR | 6 | -89 | 8% | — | TE99 |
| 111 | Jack Westover | NE | 5 | -90 | 7% | — | TE125 |
| 112 | Ben Sims | MIN | 5 | -90 | 9% | — | TE98 |
| 113 | T29Robert Tonyan | KC | 5 | -90 | 14% | — | TE122 |
| 114 | Teagan Quitoriano | ATL | 5 | -90 | 12% | — | TE128 |
| 115 | Chris Manhertz | NYG | 5 | -90 | 7% | — | TE115 |
| 116 | Lucas Krull | DEN | 4 | -91 | 10% | — | TE107 |
| 117 | T30Ko Kieft | TB | 4 | -91 | 12% | — | TE129 |
| 118 | Nick Kallerup | SEA | 4 | -91 | 7% | — | TE136 |
| 119 | Cam Grandy | CIN | 3 | -92 | 7% | — | TE112 |
| 120 | Giovanni Ricci | DET | 3 | -92 | 8% | — | TE126 |
| 121 | T31Albert Okwuegbunam | LV | 3 | -92 | 14% | — | TE95 |
| 122 | Shane Zylstra | DET | 3 | -92 | 14% | — | TE101 |
| 123 | Marcedes Lewis | DEN | 2 | -93 | 12% | — | TE124 |
| 124 | Will Mallory | IND | 2 | -93 | 9% | — | TE106 |
Data baseline from the projection models · refreshed 16 Jul 2026.
Per-game projections from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline, not a betting edge. Rookies without NFL production are placed by market ADP, not model-projected. For entertainment / draft research — 18+.
Both are defensible — what loses is the middle. The elite tier's VOR justifies a genuinely early pick because the weekly edge over a streamed TE is large and repeatable. Once that tier is gone, the projected gap between TE8 and TE18 is often smaller than one bench RB's upside, so spending a mid-round pick there is the worst of both worlds. Our tier breaks show exactly where the cliff is; after it, wait and stream.
Because TE scoring is the most touchdown-dependent of any position. Outside the elite target earners, most TEs project for 3–6 targets a game — the difference between a usable week and a zero is usually one red-zone throw. The TD% column (the model's anytime-TD probability) flags which TEs get real red-zone routes rather than just snaps, which is the stickiest part of their role year over year.
Playing the position week to week off the waiver wire instead of rostering one starter: each week you pick the available TE with the best matchup — a bad opposing defense against TEs, a projected shootout, or an injury that funnels red-zone targets his way. Because replacement-level TEs are close together, a well-picked stream loses surprisingly little to a mid-tier 'set-and-forget' TE and costs you a roster spot instead of a draft pick.