Tight end is the most top-heavy position in fantasy: a handful of every-week difference-makers, then a wasteland of touchdown-dependent dart throws. That shape makes value over replacement (VOR) spike for the elite tier — a top TE beats the streaming pool by more than most 'higher-scoring' players at other positions beat theirs — and collapse fast right after it. The classic draft decision follows directly from the table below: pay up for one of the few elites while their tier lasts, or punt the position entirely and stream matchups off the wire.
Players our board ranks meaningfully higher than the market drafts them — the gap between VOR-based rank and public ADP is where draft value lives.
Tier breaks (T2, T3, …) mark real drop-offs in projected value — players inside a tier are close; between tiers the gap is big enough to change your pick.
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% | ADP | ’25 finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Trey McBride | ARI | 147 | 55 | 36% | 48.7 | TE1 |
| 2 | Colston Loveland | CHI | 130 | 38 | 29% | 68.7 | TE10 |
| 3 | George Kittle | SF | 128 | 36 | 31% | 113.0 | TE12 |
| 4 | Harold Fannin Jr. | CLE | 125 | 33 | 33% | 98.3 | TE5 |
| 5 | T2Brock Bowers | LV | 124 | 32 | 31% | 51.0 | TE8 |
| 6 | Travis Kelce | KC | 122 | 30 | 28% | 137.4 | TE6 |
| 7 | Kyle Pitts | ATL | 119 | 27 | 29% | 111.1 | TE3 |
| 8 | Mark Andrews | BAL | 118 | 26 | 26% | 118.3 | TE19 |
| 9 | T3Dallas Goedert | PHI | 117 | 26 | 31% | 88.8 | TE2 |
| 10 | Tyler Warren | IND | 110 | 18 | 25% | 79.3 | TE7 |
| 11 | Zach Ertz | WAS | 105 | 13 | 29% | — | TE21 |
| 12 | Sam LaPorta | DET | 93 | 1 | 31% | 125.5 | TE25 |
| 13 | T4Juwan Johnson | NO | 93 | 1 | 22% | 155.4 | TE11 |
| 14 | Hunter Henry | NE | 92 | 0 | 23% | 146.9 | TE4 |
| 15 | Pat Freiermuth | PIT | 89 | -3 | 22% | — | TE22 |
| 16 | T.J. Hockenson | MIN | 86 | -6 | 23% | — | TE29 |
| 17 | T5Dalton Schultz | HOU | 86 | -7 | 21% | — | TE13 |
| 18 | Jonnu Smith | PIT | 84 | -8 | 15% | — | TE34 |
| 19 | Tucker Kraft | GB | 83 | -9 | 31% | 88.2 | TE17 |
| 20 | Oronde Gadsden II | LAC | 83 | -9 | 21% | — | TE18 |
| 21 | T6Chig Okonkwo | WAS | 82 | -10 | 21% | — | TE24 |
| 22 | Theo Johnson | NYG | 81 | -11 | 23% | — | TE20 |
| 23 | Isaiah Likely | NYG | 77 | -15 | 23% | 137.7 | TE49 |
| 24 | Jake Ferguson | DAL | 76 | -17 | 21% | 157.4 | TE9 |
| 25 | T7Evan Engram | DEN | 72 | -20 | 17% | — | TE32 |
| 26 | Taysom Hill | NO | 72 | -21 | 18% | — | TE51 |
| 27 | Cade Otton | TB | 71 | -21 | 18% | — | TE28 |
| 28 | Gunnar Helm | TEN | 70 | -22 | 19% | — | TE33 |
| 29 | T8Dalton Kincaid | BUF | 70 | -22 | 21% | 144.5 | TE16 |
| 30 | AJ Barner | SEA | 66 | -26 | 21% | — | TE14 |
| 31 | Cole Kmet | CHI | 64 | -28 | 15% | — | TE36 |
| 32 | Brenton Strange | JAX | 63 | -29 | 22% | 166.0 | TE23 |
| 33 | T9Mike Gesicki | CIN | 62 | -30 | 19% | — | TE39 |
| 34 | Colby Parkinson | LA | 61 | -31 | 19% | 155.8 | TE15 |
| 35 | Dawson Knox | BUF | 60 | -32 | 20% | — | TE26 |
| 36 | Mason Taylor | NYJ | 59 | -33 | 20% | — | TE38 |
| 37 | T10Tyler Higbee | LA | 59 | -33 | 15% | — | TE37 |
| 38 | David Njoku | LAC | 55 | -37 | 23% | — | TE31 |
| 39 | Darren Waller | MIA | 51 | -41 | 24% | — | TE27 |
| 40 | Austin Hooper | ATL | 50 | -42 | 14% | — | TE47 |
| 41 | T11Tommy Tremble | CAR | 50 | -42 | 17% | — | TE48 |
| 42 | Noah Gray | KC | 48 | -44 | 11% | — | TE65 |
| 43 | Noah Fant | NO | 45 | -47 | 12% | — | TE35 |
| 44 | Elijah Higgins | ARI | 44 | -49 | 11% | — | TE52 |
| 45 | T12Davis Allen | LA | 43 | -49 | 15% | — | TE46 |
| 46 | Luke Musgrave | GB | 43 | -49 | 12% | — | TE57 |
| 47 | Michael Mayer | LV | 42 | -50 | 18% | — | TE44 |
| 48 | Foster Moreau | HOU | 40 | -52 | 14% | — | TE89 |
| 49 | T13Tyler Conklin | DET | 40 | -52 | 11% | — | TE80 |
| 50 | Jake Tonges | SF | 40 | -52 | 30% | — | TE30 |
| 51 | Will Dissly | LAC | 39 | -53 | 12% | — | TE81 |
| 52 | Greg Dulcich | MIA | 39 | -53 | 19% | — | TE45 |
| 53 | T14Terrance Ferguson | LA | 37 | -55 | 17% | — | TE41 |
| 54 | Darnell Washington | PIT | 37 | -55 | 12% | — | TE40 |
| 55 | Mitchell Evans | CAR | 37 | -55 | 13% | — | TE53 |
| 56 | Josh Oliver | MIN | 37 | -56 | 16% | — | TE43 |
| 57 | T15Ja'Tavion Sanders | CAR | 36 | -56 | 12% | — | TE58 |
| 58 | Adam Trautman | DEN | 32 | -60 | 11% | — | TE56 |
| 59 | Jeremy Ruckert | NYJ | 32 | -60 | 12% | — | TE61 |
| 60 | Daniel Bellinger | TEN | 31 | -61 | 14% | — | TE42 |
| 61 | T16Luke Schoonmaker | DAL | 31 | -61 | 9% | — | TE74 |
| 62 | Jackson Hawes | BUF | 30 | -62 | 15% | — | TE50 |
| 63 | Connor Heyward | LV | 29 | -63 | 12% | — | TE59 |
| 64 | Johnny Mundt | PHI | 27 | -65 | 9% | — | TE77 |
| 65 | T17Elijah Arroyo | SEA | 27 | -65 | 11% | — | TE60 |
| 66 | Grant Calcaterra | PHI | 25 | -67 | 8% | — | TE72 |
| 67 | Mo Alie-Cox | IND | 24 | -68 | 12% | — | TE66 |
| 68 | Brock Wright | DET | 24 | -68 | 18% | — | TE62 |
| 69 | T18Ben Sinnott | WAS | 23 | -69 | 16% | — | TE67 |
| 70 | Tanner Hudson | CIN | 23 | -69 | 11% | — | TE54 |
| 71 | Brevyn Spann-Ford | DAL | 23 | -69 | 7% | — | TE70 |
| 72 | Charlie Kolar | LAC | 23 | -70 | 9% | — | TE55 |
| 73 | T19Drew Sample | CIN | 22 | -70 | 8% | — | TE68 |
| 74 | John FitzPatrick | GB | 22 | -70 | 10% | — | TE73 |
| 75 | Cade Stover | HOU | 22 | -70 | 9% | — | TE87 |
| 76 | Josh Whyle | GB | 21 | -71 | 12% | — | TE82 |
| 77 | T20Nate Adkins | DEN | 20 | -72 | 12% | — | TE78 |
| 78 | Quintin Morris | JAX | 20 | -72 | 11% | — | TE75 |
| 79 | Julian Hill | NE | 18 | -74 | 9% | — | TE71 |
| 80 | Ian Thomas | LV | 17 | -76 | 9% | — | TE76 |
| 81 | T21John Bates | WAS | 16 | -76 | 8% | — | TE69 |
| 82 | Payne Durham | TB | 16 | -76 | 9% | — | TE109 |
| 83 | Kylen Granson | TEN | 15 | -77 | 6% | — | TE94 |
| 84 | Eric Saubert | SEA | 15 | -77 | 8% | — | TE97 |
| 85 | T22Tanner Conner | NYG | 15 | -77 | 10% | — | TE83 |
| 86 | Andrew Ogletree | IND | 15 | -77 | 10% | — | TE85 |
| 87 | Hunter Long | JAX | 15 | -77 | 13% | — | TE63 |
| 88 | Stone Smartt | PHI | 15 | -78 | 8% | — | TE91 |
| 89 | T23Jack Stoll | CLE | 13 | -79 | 8% | — | TE79 |
| 90 | Charlie Woerner | ATL | 11 | -81 | 10% | — | TE92 |
| 91 | Anthony Firkser | WAS | 11 | -81 | 11% | — | TE90 |
| 92 | Blake Whiteheart | CLE | 11 | -81 | 7% | — | TE119 |
| 93 | T24Luke Farrell | SF | 11 | -81 | 6% | — | TE64 |
| 94 | David Martin-Robinson | TEN | 11 | -81 | 7% | — | TE84 |
| 95 | Lucas Krull | DEN | 10 | -82 | 10% | — | TE107 |
| 96 | Harrison Bryant | SEA | 10 | -82 | 10% | — | TE113 |
| 97 | T25Devin Culp | TB | 10 | -82 | 9% | — | TE88 |
| 98 | Colson Yankoff | WAS | 10 | -82 | 7% | — | TE103 |
| 99 | Cameron Latu | PHI | 9 | -83 | 8% | — | TE127 |
| 100 | Feleipe Franks | CAR | 9 | -83 | 8% | — | TE117 |
| 101 | T26Durham Smythe | BAL | 9 | -83 | 6% | — | TE100 |
| 102 | Tucker Fisk | LAC | 7 | -85 | 7% | — | TE102 |
| 103 | Brenden Bates | CLE | 7 | -85 | 8% | — | TE93 |
| 104 | Ross Dwelley | DET | 7 | -85 | 11% | — | TE114 |
| 105 | T27Jelani Woods | NYJ | 7 | -85 | 16% | — | TE116 |
| 106 | Josiah Deguara | ARI | 7 | -85 | 7% | — | TE86 |
| 107 | Pharaoh Brown | ARI | 6 | -86 | 7% | — | TE123 |
| 108 | Ben Yurosek | MIN | 6 | -86 | 6% | — | TE108 |
| 109 | T28Chris Manhertz | NYG | 6 | -86 | 7% | — | TE115 |
| 110 | Tip Reiman | ARI | 6 | -86 | 10% | — | TE104 |
| 111 | James Mitchell | CAR | 6 | -87 | 8% | — | TE99 |
| 112 | Brayden Willis | SF | 5 | -87 | 9% | — | TE131 |
| 113 | T29Jack Westover | NE | 5 | -87 | 7% | — | TE125 |
| 114 | Ben Sims | MIA | 5 | -87 | 9% | — | TE98 |
| 115 | Robert Tonyan | PIT | 5 | -87 | 14% | — | TE122 |
| 116 | Teagan Quitoriano | ARI | 5 | -87 | 12% | — | TE128 |
| 117 | T30Ko Kieft | TB | 4 | -88 | 12% | — | TE129 |
| 118 | Nick Kallerup | SEA | 4 | -88 | 7% | — | TE136 |
| 119 | Cam Grandy | CIN | 4 | -88 | 7% | — | TE112 |
| 120 | Giovanni Ricci | DET | 3 | -89 | 8% | — | TE126 |
| 121 | T31Will Mallory | IND | 3 | -89 | 9% | — | TE106 |
| 122 | Albert Okwuegbunam | LV | 3 | -89 | 14% | — | TE95 |
| 123 | Shane Zylstra | BUF | 2 | -90 | 14% | — | TE101 |
| 124 | Marcedes Lewis | DEN | 2 | -91 | 12% | — | TE124 |
Data baseline from the projection models · refreshed 30 Aug 2026.
Per-game projections from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline, not a betting edge. Rookies without NFL production are placed by market ADP, not model-projected. For entertainment / draft research — 18+.
Both are defensible — what loses is the middle. The elite tier's VOR justifies a genuinely early pick because the weekly edge over a streamed TE is large and repeatable. Once that tier is gone, the projected gap between TE8 and TE18 is often smaller than one bench RB's upside, so spending a mid-round pick there is the worst of both worlds. Our tier breaks show exactly where the cliff is; after it, wait and stream.
Because TE scoring is the most touchdown-dependent of any position. Outside the elite target earners, most TEs project for 3–6 targets a game — the difference between a usable week and a zero is usually one red-zone throw. The TD% column (the model's anytime-TD probability) flags which TEs get real red-zone routes rather than just snaps, which is the stickiest part of their role year over year.
Playing the position week to week off the waiver wire instead of rostering one starter: each week you pick the available TE with the best matchup — a bad opposing defense against TEs, a projected shootout, or an injury that funnels red-zone targets his way. Because replacement-level TEs are close together, a well-picked stream loses surprisingly little to a mid-tier 'set-and-forget' TE and costs you a roster spot instead of a draft pick.