Tight end is the most top-heavy position in fantasy: a handful of every-week difference-makers, then a wasteland of touchdown-dependent dart throws. That shape makes value over replacement (VOR) spike for the elite tier — a top TE beats the streaming pool by more than most 'higher-scoring' players at other positions beat theirs — and collapse fast right after it. The classic draft decision follows directly from the table below: pay up for one of the few elites while their tier lasts, or punt the position entirely and stream matchups off the wire.
Players our board ranks meaningfully higher than the market drafts them — the gap between VOR-based rank and public ADP is where draft value lives.
Tier breaks (T2, T3, …) mark real drop-offs in projected value — players inside a tier are close; between tiers the gap is big enough to change your pick.
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% | ADP | ’25 finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Trey McBride | ARI | 206 | 86 | 36% | 38.3 | TE1 |
| 2 | Colston Loveland | CHI | 168 | 49 | 29% | 61.3 | TE12 |
| 3 | Brock Bowers | LV | 167 | 47 | 31% | 43.2 | TE10 |
| 4 | Travis Kelce | KC | 165 | 46 | 28% | 119.9 | TE4 |
| 5 | T2Harold Fannin Jr. | CLE | 164 | 45 | 33% | 81.7 | TE5 |
| 6 | George Kittle | SF | 162 | 43 | 31% | 103.9 | TE13 |
| 7 | Kyle Pitts | ATL | 155 | 36 | 29% | 85.0 | TE2 |
| 8 | Dallas Goedert | PHI | 152 | 32 | 31% | 96.2 | TE3 |
| 9 | T3Mark Andrews | BAL | 147 | 27 | 26% | 124.8 | TE17 |
| 10 | Tyler Warren | IND | 144 | 24 | 25% | 72.1 | TE6 |
| 11 | Zach Ertz | WAS | 139 | 20 | 29% | — | TE21 |
| 12 | Juwan Johnson | NO | 124 | 5 | 22% | 160.8 | TE9 |
| 13 | T4Hunter Henry | NE | 120 | 1 | 23% | 165.9 | TE8 |
| 14 | Sam LaPorta | DET | 120 | 0 | 31% | 124.6 | TE27 |
| 15 | T.J. Hockenson | MIN | 117 | -2 | 23% | 172.9 | TE26 |
| 16 | Pat Freiermuth | PIT | 117 | -3 | 22% | — | TE24 |
| 17 | T5Dalton Schultz | HOU | 116 | -4 | 21% | 175.9 | TE11 |
| 18 | Chig Okonkwo | WAS | 111 | -9 | 21% | — | TE22 |
| 19 | Jonnu Smith | PIT | 109 | -11 | 15% | — | TE34 |
| 20 | Theo Johnson | NYG | 107 | -13 | 23% | — | TE19 |
| 21 | T6Oronde Gadsden II | LAC | 106 | -14 | 21% | 164.4 | TE16 |
| 22 | Jake Ferguson | DAL | 105 | -15 | 21% | 139.2 | TE7 |
| 23 | Tucker Kraft | GB | 105 | -15 | 31% | 95.0 | TE20 |
| 24 | Evan Engram | DEN | 99 | -21 | 17% | — | TE29 |
| 25 | T7Isaiah Likely | NYG | 98 | -22 | 23% | 135.7 | TE45 |
| 26 | Cade Otton | TB | 97 | -23 | 18% | — | TE25 |
| 27 | Gunnar Helm | TEN | 96 | -24 | 19% | — | TE33 |
| 28 | Dalton Kincaid | BUF | 93 | -27 | 21% | 149.5 | TE18 |
| 29 | T8Mike Gesicki | CIN | 85 | -34 | 19% | — | TE40 |
| 30 | AJ Barner | SEA | 85 | -35 | 21% | — | TE14 |
| 31 | Brenton Strange | JAX | 84 | -36 | 22% | 172.5 | TE23 |
| 32 | Cole Kmet | CHI | 84 | -36 | 15% | — | TE37 |
| 33 | T9Taysom Hill | NO | 83 | -37 | 18% | — | TE55 |
| 34 | Colby Parkinson | LA | 82 | -38 | 19% | — | TE15 |
| 35 | Mason Taylor | NYJ | 81 | -39 | 20% | — | TE35 |
| 36 | Dawson Knox | BUF | 79 | -41 | 20% | — | TE28 |
| 37 | T10Tyler Higbee | LA | 76 | -44 | 15% | — | TE38 |
| 38 | David Njoku | LAC | 75 | -45 | 23% | — | TE32 |
| 39 | Austin Hooper | ATL | 67 | -53 | 14% | — | TE47 |
| 40 | Darren Waller | MIA | 66 | -54 | 24% | — | TE30 |
| 41 | T11Tommy Tremble | CAR | 65 | -55 | 17% | — | TE44 |
| 42 | Noah Gray | KC | 63 | -57 | 11% | — | TE62 |
| 43 | Noah Fant | NO | 61 | -59 | 12% | — | TE36 |
| 44 | Elijah Higgins | ARI | 59 | -61 | 11% | — | TE50 |
| 45 | T12Michael Mayer | LV | 57 | -63 | 18% | — | TE41 |
| 46 | Davis Allen | LA | 57 | -63 | 15% | — | TE43 |
| 47 | Luke Musgrave | GB | 57 | -63 | 12% | — | TE56 |
| 48 | Tyler Conklin | DET | 54 | -66 | 11% | — | TE81 |
| 49 | T13Will Dissly | LAC | 53 | -66 | 12% | — | TE77 |
| 50 | Jake Tonges | SF | 53 | -67 | 30% | — | TE31 |
| 51 | Greg Dulcich | MIA | 52 | -68 | 19% | — | TE42 |
| 52 | Ja'Tavion Sanders | CAR | 51 | -69 | 12% | — | TE52 |
| 53 | T14Foster Moreau | HOU | 50 | -69 | 14% | — | TE88 |
| 54 | Darnell Washington | PIT | 50 | -70 | 12% | — | TE39 |
| 55 | Mitchell Evans | CAR | 48 | -72 | 13% | — | TE53 |
| 56 | Terrance Ferguson | LA | 47 | -73 | 17% | 187.1 | TE49 |
| 57 | T15Josh Oliver | MIN | 46 | -73 | 16% | — | TE48 |
| 58 | Jeremy Ruckert | NYJ | 45 | -75 | 12% | — | TE58 |
| 59 | Daniel Bellinger | TEN | 43 | -77 | 14% | — | TE46 |
| 60 | Luke Schoonmaker | DAL | 43 | -77 | 9% | — | TE71 |
| 61 | T16Adam Trautman | DEN | 41 | -78 | 11% | — | TE57 |
| 62 | Jackson Hawes | BUF | 38 | -81 | 15% | — | TE51 |
| 63 | Johnny Mundt | PHI | 36 | -84 | 9% | — | TE76 |
| 64 | Elijah Arroyo | SEA | 35 | -85 | 11% | — | TE59 |
| 65 | T17Connor Heyward | LV | 34 | -86 | 12% | — | TE65 |
| 66 | Grant Calcaterra | PHI | 33 | -87 | 8% | — | TE74 |
| 67 | Tanner Hudson | CIN | 32 | -88 | 11% | — | TE54 |
| 68 | Drew Sample | CIN | 32 | -88 | 8% | — | TE66 |
| 69 | T18Mo Alie-Cox | IND | 32 | -88 | 12% | — | TE67 |
| 70 | Brock Wright | DET | 31 | -89 | 18% | — | TE61 |
| 71 | Brevyn Spann-Ford | DAL | 31 | -89 | 7% | — | TE72 |
| 72 | Cade Stover | HOU | 30 | -90 | 9% | — | TE79 |
| 73 | T19Ben Sinnott | WAS | 30 | -90 | 16% | — | TE68 |
| 74 | John FitzPatrick | GB | 30 | -90 | 10% | — | TE73 |
| 75 | Josh Whyle | GB | 29 | -91 | 12% | — | TE84 |
| 76 | Charlie Kolar | LAC | 27 | -92 | 9% | — | TE60 |
| 77 | T20Nate Adkins | DEN | 26 | -94 | 12% | — | TE80 |
| 78 | Quintin Morris | JAX | 26 | -94 | 11% | — | TE78 |
| 79 | Julian Hill | NE | 25 | -94 | 9% | — | TE70 |
| 80 | Ian Thomas | LV | 23 | -97 | 9% | — | TE75 |
| 81 | T21John Bates | WAS | 23 | -97 | 8% | — | TE69 |
| 82 | Eric Saubert | SEA | 20 | -99 | 8% | — | TE97 |
| 83 | Tanner Conner | NYG | 20 | -99 | 10% | — | TE82 |
| 84 | Hunter Long | JAX | 20 | -100 | 13% | — | TE63 |
| 85 | T22Kylen Granson | TEN | 20 | -100 | 6% | — | TE92 |
| 86 | Payne Durham | TB | 20 | -100 | 9% | — | TE114 |
| 87 | Stone Smartt | PHI | 20 | -100 | 8% | — | TE91 |
| 88 | Andrew Ogletree | IND | 18 | -101 | 10% | — | TE86 |
| 89 | T23Jack Stoll | CLE | 18 | -102 | 8% | — | TE83 |
| 90 | Lucas Krull | DEN | 16 | -104 | 10% | — | TE106 |
| 91 | Charlie Woerner | ATL | 16 | -104 | 10% | — | TE90 |
| 92 | Luke Farrell | SF | 16 | -104 | 6% | — | TE64 |
| 93 | T24Anthony Firkser | WAS | 15 | -105 | 11% | — | TE89 |
| 94 | Blake Whiteheart | CLE | 14 | -106 | 7% | — | TE115 |
| 95 | David Martin-Robinson | TEN | 14 | -106 | 7% | — | TE85 |
| 96 | Harrison Bryant | SEA | 14 | -106 | 10% | — | TE112 |
| 97 | T25Devin Culp | TB | 13 | -107 | 9% | — | TE93 |
| 98 | Durham Smythe | BAL | 13 | -107 | 6% | — | TE98 |
| 99 | Colson Yankoff | WAS | 13 | -107 | 7% | — | TE104 |
| 100 | Cameron Latu | PHI | 12 | -108 | 8% | — | TE127 |
| 101 | T26Feleipe Franks | CAR | 11 | -108 | 8% | — | TE124 |
| 102 | Tucker Fisk | LAC | 11 | -109 | 7% | — | TE103 |
| 103 | Brenden Bates | CLE | 10 | -110 | 8% | — | TE94 |
| 104 | Ross Dwelley | DET | 10 | -110 | 11% | — | TE113 |
| 105 | T27Josiah Deguara | ARI | 9 | -110 | 7% | — | TE87 |
| 106 | Jelani Woods | NYJ | 9 | -111 | 16% | — | TE118 |
| 107 | Pharaoh Brown | ARI | 9 | -111 | 7% | — | TE117 |
| 108 | Tip Reiman | ARI | 9 | -111 | 10% | — | TE102 |
| 109 | T28Ben Yurosek | MIN | 8 | -112 | 6% | — | TE107 |
| 110 | Chris Manhertz | NYG | 7 | -112 | 7% | — | TE116 |
| 111 | James Mitchell | CAR | 7 | -112 | 8% | — | TE100 |
| 112 | Ben Sims | MIA | 7 | -113 | 9% | — | TE99 |
| 113 | T29Jack Westover | NE | 7 | -113 | 7% | — | TE123 |
| 114 | Brayden Willis | SF | 7 | -113 | 9% | — | TE131 |
| 115 | Robert Tonyan | PIT | 6 | -114 | 14% | — | TE122 |
| 116 | Teagan Quitoriano | ARI | 6 | -114 | 12% | — | TE128 |
| 117 | T30Cam Grandy | CIN | 5 | -114 | 7% | — | TE111 |
| 118 | Ko Kieft | TB | 5 | -115 | 12% | — | TE129 |
| 119 | Nick Kallerup | SEA | 5 | -115 | 7% | — | TE136 |
| 120 | Will Mallory | IND | 4 | -116 | 9% | — | TE109 |
| 121 | T31Giovanni Ricci | DET | 4 | -116 | 8% | — | TE126 |
| 122 | Albert Okwuegbunam | LV | 4 | -116 | 14% | — | TE95 |
| 123 | Shane Zylstra | BUF | 3 | -117 | 14% | — | TE101 |
| 124 | Marcedes Lewis | DEN | 2 | -118 | 12% | — | TE125 |
| TKenyon Sadiq | NYJ | — | — | — | 175.4 | — |
Data baseline from the projection models · refreshed 30 Aug 2026.
Per-game projections from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline, not a betting edge. Rookies without NFL production are placed by market ADP, not model-projected. For entertainment / draft research — 18+.
Both are defensible — what loses is the middle. The elite tier's VOR justifies a genuinely early pick because the weekly edge over a streamed TE is large and repeatable. Once that tier is gone, the projected gap between TE8 and TE18 is often smaller than one bench RB's upside, so spending a mid-round pick there is the worst of both worlds. Our tier breaks show exactly where the cliff is; after it, wait and stream.
Because TE scoring is the most touchdown-dependent of any position. Outside the elite target earners, most TEs project for 3–6 targets a game — the difference between a usable week and a zero is usually one red-zone throw. The TD% column (the model's anytime-TD probability) flags which TEs get real red-zone routes rather than just snaps, which is the stickiest part of their role year over year.
Playing the position week to week off the waiver wire instead of rostering one starter: each week you pick the available TE with the best matchup — a bad opposing defense against TEs, a projected shootout, or an injury that funnels red-zone targets his way. Because replacement-level TEs are close together, a well-picked stream loses surprisingly little to a mid-tier 'set-and-forget' TE and costs you a roster spot instead of a draft pick.