Running back is the scarcest position in fantasy: true three-down workhorses barely exist any more, committees eat into touches, and the drop-off from the elite tier to a replacement-level back is the steepest on the board. That scarcity is exactly what value over replacement (VOR) measures — and why RBs still dominate the top of most drafts even in PPR, where pass-catching backs stack a reception floor on top of rushing volume. Hit on your early RB picks and the rest of your draft plays from ahead; miss and you're chasing the waiver wire all season.
Players our board ranks meaningfully higher than the market drafts them — the gap between VOR-based rank and public ADP is where draft value lives.
Tier breaks (T2, T3, …) mark real drop-offs in projected value — players inside a tier are close; between tiers the gap is big enough to change your pick.
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% | ADP | ’25 finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Bijan Robinson | ATL | 297 | 179 | 41% | 2.4 | RB3 |
| 2 | Christian McCaffrey | SF | 288 | 169 | 37% | 5.3 | RB2 |
| 3 | De'Von Achane | MIA | 243 | 125 |
Data baseline from the projection models · refreshed 16 Jul 2026.
Per-game projections from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline, not a betting edge. Rookies without NFL production are placed by market ADP, not model-projected. For entertainment / draft research — 18+.
Usually yes — but for a different reason than in Standard. PPR softens pure rushing volume, yet the backs at the top of this board catch passes too, so their projected points barely drop while their scarcity stays extreme. VOR, not raw points, is what makes an elite RB a first-round pick: the gap to a replacement back is the biggest positional gap in fantasy. From the mid-rounds on, the position flattens fast and WRs typically offer better value per pick.
| 46% |
| 10.4 |
| RB7 |
| 4 | Chase Brown | CIN | 219 | 101 | 31% | 25.2 | RB11 |
| 5 | Saquon Barkley | PHI | 213 | 95 | 38% | 12.3 | RB14 |
| 6 | Derrick Henry | BAL | 208 | 90 | 34% | 7.6 | RB6 |
| 7 | T2Ashton Jeanty | LV | 207 | 89 | 31% | 13.3 | RB15 |
| 8 | Kyren Williams | LA | 203 | 85 | 41% | 23.5 | RB8 |
| 9 | Travis Etienne | JAX | 197 | 79 | 29% | 36.7 | RB9 |
| 10 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 193 | 75 | 35% | 1.7 | RB4 |
| 11 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | 190 | 71 | 38% | 3.0 | RB1 |
| 12 | Tony Pollard | TEN | 186 | 68 | 20% | 67.5 | RB23 |
| 13 | T3Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 181 | 63 | 23% | 70.6 | RB25 |
| 14 | Kenneth Walker III | SEA | 180 | 62 | 33% | 18.6 | RB21 |
| 15 | James Cook | BUF | 176 | 58 | 31% | 8.5 | RB5 |
| 16 | Breece Hall | NYJ | 169 | 50 | 29% | 30.6 | RB18 |
| 17 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | 169 | 50 | 36% | 46.1 | RB13 |
| 18 | Woody Marks | HOU | 160 | 42 | 20% | 155.2 | RB32 |
| 19 | T4Tyrone Tracy Jr. | NYG | 154 | 36 | 20% | 166.8 | RB30 |
| 20 | Javonte Williams | DAL | 154 | 36 | 26% | 29.6 | RB10 |
| 21 | RJ Harvey | DEN | 151 | 33 | 38% | 97.2 | RB20 |
| 22 | Jaylen Warren | PIT | 147 | 29 | 17% | — | RB17 |
| 23 | Josh Jacobs | GB | 143 | 24 | 32% | 17.6 | RB12 |
| 24 | Quinshon Judkins | CLE | 137 | 19 | 20% | 40.9 | RB27 |
| 25 | T5Zach Charbonnet | SEA | 135 | 17 | 28% | 149.7 | RB22 |
| 26 | Rico Dowdle | CAR | 122 | 4 | 23% | 79.0 | RB16 |
| 27 | Bucky Irving | TB | 121 | 3 | 34% | 50.4 | RB35 |
| 28 | Kenneth Gainwell | PIT | 121 | 2 | 27% | — | RB24 |
| 29 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | 120 | 1 | 27% | 104.9 | RB28 |
| 30 | Aaron Jones | MIN | 118 | 0 | 30% | 102.2 | RB43 |
| 31 | T6Devin Singletary | NYG | 111 | -7 | 21% | — | RB45 |
| 32 | Cam Skattebo | NYG | 111 | -7 | 42% | 34.3 | RB39 |
| 33 | Chuba Hubbard | CAR | 104 | -14 | 21% | 74.9 | RB42 |
| 34 | TreVeyon Henderson | NE | 104 | -14 | 11% | 55.4 | RB19 |
| 35 | David Montgomery | DET | 102 | -16 | 37% | 51.7 | RB26 |
| 36 | Kareem Hunt | KC | 102 | -16 | 27% | — | RB29 |
| 37 | T7Omarion Hampton | LAC | 96 | -22 | 44% | 17.6 | RB38 |
| 38 | Tyler Allgeier | ATL | 92 | -27 | 17% | — | RB36 |
| 39 | Alvin Kamara | NO | 89 | -29 | 29% | — | RB52 |
| 40 | J.K. Dobbins | DEN | 89 | -29 | 25% | 74.5 | RB37 |
| 41 | Kimani Vidal | LAC | 86 | -32 | 15% | — | RB41 |
| 42 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | WAS | 86 | -32 | 21% | 135.3 | RB44 |
| 43 | T8Kyle Monangai | CHI | 84 | -34 | 17% | 89.9 | RB31 |
| 44 | Dylan Sampson | CLE | 84 | -34 | 16% | — | RB57 |
| 45 | Isiah Pacheco | KC | 83 | -35 | 20% | 151.6 | RB53 |
| 46 | Michael Carter | ARI | 79 | -39 | 16% | — | RB55 |
| 47 | Ty Johnson | BUF | 78 | -40 | 17% | — | RB49 |
| 48 | Bam Knight | ARI | 75 | -43 | 26% | — | RB51 |
| 49 | T9Rachaad White | TB | 75 | -43 | 19% | 118.9 | RB40 |
| 50 | Jordan Mason | MIN | 74 | -44 | 14% | 112.1 | RB33 |
| 51 | Samaje Perine | CIN | 72 | -47 | 14% | — | RB56 |
| 52 | Blake Corum | LA | 69 | -49 | 9% | 105.6 | RB34 |
| 53 | Tyjae Spears | TEN | 66 | -53 | 21% | — | RB54 |
| 54 | Isaiah Davis | NYJ | 61 | -57 | 11% | — | RB60 |
| 55 | T10Sean Tucker | TB | 61 | -57 | 24% | — | RB46 |
| 56 | Emanuel Wilson | GB | 60 | -58 | 10% | — | RB48 |
| 57 | Nick Chubb | HOU | 58 | -60 | 26% | — | RB50 |
| 58 | Ray Davis | BUF | 58 | -60 | 13% | 167.4 | RB61 |
| 59 | Keaton Mitchell | BAL | 58 | -61 | 12% | — | RB65 |
| 60 | Bhayshul Tuten | JAX | 57 | -61 | 31% | 57.3 | RB47 |
| 61 | T11Jeremy McNichols | WAS | 55 | -64 | 14% | — | RB62 |
| 62 | Tank Bigsby | PHI | 54 | -64 | 13% | — | RB59 |
| 63 | Devin Neal | NO | 51 | -67 | 16% | — | RB68 |
| 64 | Emari Demercado | ARI | 48 | -70 | 11% | — | RB63 |
| 65 | Brian Robinson | SF | 44 | -74 | 14% | — | RB58 |
| 66 | Jaylen Wright | MIA | 43 | -75 | 13% | — | RB66 |
| 67 | T12Hunter Luepke | DAL | 40 | -79 | 8% | — | RB76 |
| 68 | Ollie Gordon II | MIA | 39 | -79 | 15% | — | RB64 |
| 69 | Justice Hill | BAL | 38 | -80 | 16% | — | RB67 |
| 70 | Chris Brooks | GB | 38 | -81 | 8% | — | RB82 |
| 71 | Brashard Smith | KC | 37 | -81 | 9% | — | RB70 |
| 72 | Malik Davis | DAL | 35 | -83 | 13% | — | RB69 |
| 73 | T13Zavier Scott | MIN | 34 | -85 | 9% | — | RB74 |
| 74 | James Conner | ARI | 33 | -85 | 43% | — | RB75 |
| 75 | Jawhar Jordan | HOU | 32 | -86 | 10% | — | RB77 |
| 76 | Kendre Miller | NO | 32 | -86 | 10% | — | RB72 |
| 77 | Raheem Mostert | LV | 30 | -88 | 18% | — | RB85 |
| 78 | Audric Estimé | NO | 29 | -89 | 16% | — | RB71 |
| 79 | T14Jerome Ford | CLE | 29 | -90 | 14% | — | RB84 |
| 80 | Rasheen Ali | BAL | 27 | -91 | 12% | — | RB92 |
| 81 | Andrew Beck | NYJ | 26 | -92 | 9% | — | RB88 |
| 82 | Dare Ogunbowale | HOU | 25 | -93 | 10% | — | RB90 |
| 83 | Jaleel McLaughlin | DEN | 25 | -93 | 9% | — | RB73 |
| 84 | Ameer Abdullah | IND | 23 | -96 | 12% | — | RB80 |
| 85 | T15LeQuint Allen Jr. | JAX | 22 | -96 | 7% | — | RB93 |
| 86 | Tyler Badie | DEN | 22 | -96 | 8% | — | RB89 |
| 87 | Miles Sanders | DAL | 21 | -97 | 18% | — | RB81 |
| 88 | Trey Benson | ARI | 20 | -98 | 13% | — | RB79 |
| 89 | Antonio Gibson | NE | 19 | -99 | 19% | — | RB87 |
| 90 | Tahj Brooks | CIN | 18 | -100 | 9% | — | RB116 |
| 91 | T16Najee Harris | LAC | 18 | -100 | 30% | — | RB103 |
| 92 | Jaret Patterson | LAC | 18 | -101 | 10% | — | RB78 |
| 93 | Terrell Jennings | NE | 17 | -101 | 12% | — | RB95 |
| 94 | Raheim Sanders | CLE | 17 | -101 | 20% | — | RB86 |
| 95 | Kaleb Johnson | PIT | 17 | -101 | 9% | — | RB106 |
| 96 | Dylan Laube | LV | 17 | -101 | 8% | — | RB123 |
| 97 | T17Cam Akers | SEA | 17 | -102 | 13% | — | RB109 |
| 98 | AJ Dillon | PHI | 15 | -103 | 11% | — | RB104 |
| 99 | Khalil Herbert | NYJ | 15 | -103 | 12% | — | RB113 |
| 100 | Jaydon Blue | DAL | 15 | -103 | 9% | — | RB83 |
| 101 | George Holani | SEA | 15 | -103 | 7% | — | RB94 |
| 102 | Trayveon Williams | CLE | 15 | -104 | 8% | — | RB101 |
| 103 | T18DJ Giddens | IND | 14 | -104 | 7% | — | RB100 |
| 104 | Julius Chestnut | TEN | 14 | -104 | 8% | — | RB119 |
| 105 | Will Shipley | PHI | 13 | -105 | 7% | — | RB97 |
| 106 | Evan Hull | NO | 13 | -105 | 8% | — | RB115 |
| 107 | Zamir White | LV | 13 | -105 | 8% | — | RB114 |
| 108 | Braelon Allen | NYJ | 13 | -106 | 12% | — | RB91 |
| 109 | T19Adam Prentice | DEN | 13 | -106 | 6% | — | RB99 |
| 110 | Tyler Goodson | IND | 12 | -106 | 8% | — | RB121 |
| 111 | Kene Nwangwu | NYJ | 12 | -106 | 8% | — | RB117 |
| 112 | Dameon Pierce | KC | 11 | -107 | 11% | — | RB120 |
| 113 | Austin Ekeler | WAS | 11 | -107 | 27% | — | RB105 |
| 114 | British Brooks | HOU | 11 | -108 | 7% | — | RB107 |
| 115 | T20Corey Kiner | ARI | 11 | -108 | 8% | — | RB108 |
| 116 | Jacob Saylors | DET | 10 | -108 | 8% | — | RB130 |
| 117 | Craig Reynolds | DET | 9 | -110 | 7% | — | RB136 |
| 118 | Travis Homer | CHI | 8 | -110 | 8% | — | RB150 |
| 119 | Ty Chandler | MIN | 8 | -110 | 10% | — | RB112 |
| 120 | Hassan Haskins | LAC | 7 | -111 | 12% | — | RB110 |
| 121 | T21Isaac Guerendo | SF | 7 | -111 | 10% | — | RB142 |
| 122 | Sione Vaki | DET | 7 | -111 | 8% | — | RB135 |
| 123 | Chase Edmonds | WAS | 7 | -112 | 9% | — | RB141 |
| 124 | DeeJay Dallas | JAX | 7 | -112 | 12% | — | RB126 |
| 125 | Roschon Johnson | CHI | 7 | -112 | 12% | — | RB128 |
| 126 | D'Ernest Johnson | NE | 6 | -112 | 7% | — | RB124 |
| 127 | T22Trevor Etienne | CAR | 6 | -112 | 8% | — | RB96 |
| 128 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire | KC | 6 | -113 | 16% | — | RB125 |
| 129 | Ronnie Rivers | LA | 5 | -113 | 7% | — | RB118 |
| 130 | Elijah Mitchell | KC | 5 | -113 | 28% | — | RB145 |
| 131 | Trey Sermon | PIT | 4 | -114 | 9% | — | RB147 |
| 132 | Kalel Mullings | TEN | 4 | -114 | 8% | — | RB132 |
| 133 | T23Nyheim Hines | NO | 4 | -114 | 9% | — | RB151 |
| 134 | Velus Jones Jr. | SEA | 4 | -115 | 8% | — | RB122 |
| 135 | Gary Brightwell | CIN | 3 | -115 | 9% | — | RB148 |
| 136 | Myles Gaskin | SEA | 2 | -116 | 19% | — | RB133 |
| 137 | Jordan Mims | TEN | 2 | -117 | 15% | — | RB139 |
| 138 | Robbie Ouzts | SEA | 2 | -117 | 7% | — | RB140 |
| 139 | T24Avery Williams | NYJ | 2 | -117 | 10% | — | RB143 |
| 140 | Eric Gray | NYG | 1 | -117 | 9% | — | RB144 |
| TJadarian Price | SEA | — | — | — | 60.7 | — |
| Jonathon Brooks | CAR | — | — | — | 140.0 | — |
| Jeremiyah Love | ARI | — | — | — | 29.8 | — |
A handcuff is the direct backup to a workhorse back — the player who inherits a bell-cow role if the starter goes down. Because RB value is so concentrated in volume, a good handcuff is one injury away from RB2-or-better production. Late in drafts, handcuffs to fragile or aging workhorses (especially your own) are among the highest-upside picks available; our tiers help spot which backfields have a clear next man up.
It's the model's anytime-touchdown probability for a typical game. Touchdowns are the most volatile part of RB scoring — two backs with similar yardage projections can differ by several points per game purely on goal-line role. A high TD% flags backs whose teams give them the valuable short-yardage and red-zone work, which is stickier than it looks year over year.