Running back is the scarcest position in fantasy: true three-down workhorses barely exist any more, committees eat into touches, and the drop-off from the elite tier to a replacement-level back is the steepest on the board. That scarcity is exactly what value over replacement (VOR) measures β and why RBs still dominate the top of most drafts even in PPR, where pass-catching backs stack a reception floor on top of rushing volume. Hit on your early RB picks and the rest of your draft plays from ahead; miss and you're chasing the waiver wire all season.
Players our board ranks meaningfully higher than the market drafts them β the gap between VOR-based rank and public ADP is where draft value lives.
Tier breaks (T2, T3, β¦) mark real drop-offs in projected value β players inside a tier are close; between tiers the gap is big enough to change your pick.
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% | ADP | β25 finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Bijan Robinson | ATL | 328 | 177 | 41% | 2.3 | RB3 |
| 2 | Christian McCaffrey | SF | 323 | 172 | 37% | 6.7 | RB1 |
| 3 | Saquon Barkley | PHI | 282 | 131 | 38% | 17.2 | RB15 |
| 4 | De'Von Achane | MIA | 274 | 123 | 46% | 11.7 | RB6 |
| 5 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 270 | 119 | 35% | 1.5 | RB4 |
| 6 | Derrick Henry | BAL | 258 | 107 | 34% | 9.8 | RB7 |
| 7 | T2Chase Brown | CIN | 250 | 99 | 31% | 14.8 | RB9 |
| 8 | Kyren Williams | LA | 238 | 86 | 41% | 27.7 | RB8 |
| 9 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | 235 | 84 | 38% | 5.8 | RB2 |
| 10 | Ashton Jeanty | LV | 234 | 83 | 31% | 23.8 | RB13 |
| 11 | James Cook | BUF | 219 | 68 | 31% | 9.3 | RB5 |
| 12 | Kenneth Walker III | KC | 207 | 56 | 33% | 20.2 | RB22 |
| 13 | T3Josh Jacobs | GB | 206 | 55 | 32% | 26.3 | RB12 |
| 14 | Tony Pollard | TEN | 200 | 49 | 20% | 67.3 | RB23 |
| 15 | Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 196 | 45 | 23% | 62.8 | RB25 |
| 16 | Breece Hall | NYJ | 195 | 44 | 29% | 33.0 | RB18 |
| 17 | Travis Etienne | NO | 190 | 39 | 29% | 37.0 | RB10 |
| 18 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | 187 | 36 | 36% | 43.1 | RB14 |
| 19 | T4Bucky Irving | TB | 181 | 30 | 34% | 47.5 | RB33 |
| 20 | RJ Harvey | DEN | 176 | 25 | 38% | 103.8 | RB21 |
| 21 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | NYG | 174 | 23 | 20% | 159.4 | RB28 |
| 22 | Woody Marks | HOU | 172 | 21 | 20% | 141.6 | RB32 |
| 23 | Aaron Jones | MIN | 171 | 19 | 30% | 111.3 | RB43 |
| 24 | Javonte Williams | DAL | 160 | 9 | 26% | 33.7 | RB11 |
| 25 | T5Chuba Hubbard | CAR | 158 | 7 | 21% | 86.3 | RB40 |
| 26 | Rico Dowdle | PIT | 157 | 6 | 23% | 75.1 | RB16 |
| 27 | Alvin Kamara | NO | 154 | 3 | 29% | 158.4 | RB48 |
| 28 | David Montgomery | HOU | 152 | 1 | 37% | 56.3 | RB26 |
| 29 | Jaylen Warren | PIT | 152 | 1 | 17% | 63.0 | RB17 |
| 30 | Zach Charbonnet | SEA | 151 | 0 | 28% | 133.3 | RB24 |
| 31 | T6Quinshon Judkins | CLE | 150 | -1 | 20% | 51.4 | RB27 |
| 32 | Kareem Hunt | KC | 133 | -18 | 27% | β | RB30 |
| 33 | James Conner | ARI | 131 | -20 | 43% | β | RB78 |
| 34 | J.K. Dobbins | DEN | 130 | -22 | 25% | 78.0 | RB41 |
| 35 | Rachaad White | WAS | 127 | -25 | 19% | 119.0 | RB35 |
| 36 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | 124 | -27 | 27% | 101.2 | RB29 |
| 37 | T7Cam Skattebo | NYG | 123 | -28 | 42% | 38.9 | RB39 |
| 38 | TreVeyon Henderson | NE | 120 | -31 | 11% | 63.3 | RB19 |
| 39 | Kenneth Gainwell | TB | 120 | -31 | 27% | β | RB20 |
| 40 | Devin Singletary | NYG | 115 | -37 | 21% | β | RB44 |
| 41 | Omarion Hampton | LAC | 112 | -39 | 44% | 23.4 | RB36 |
| 42 | Dylan Sampson | CLE | 100 | -51 | 16% | 172.0 | RB57 |
| 43 | T8Jordan Mason | MIN | 99 | -52 | 14% | 114.0 | RB34 |
| 44 | Michael Carter | TEN | 99 | -52 | 16% | β | RB53 |
| 45 | Tyler Allgeier | ARI | 98 | -53 | 17% | 154.5 | RB38 |
| 46 | Najee Harris | LAC | 97 | -54 | 30% | β | RB101 |
| 47 | Kyle Monangai | CHI | 94 | -57 | 17% | 101.9 | RB31 |
| 48 | Tyjae Spears | TEN | 94 | -57 | 21% | 140.8 | RB46 |
| 49 | T9Brian Robinson | ATL | 90 | -62 | 14% | 163.7 | RB60 |
| 50 | Ty Johnson | BUF | 89 | -62 | 17% | β | RB47 |
| 51 | Isiah Pacheco | DET | 88 | -63 | 20% | 154.6 | RB55 |
| 52 | Bam Knight | ARI | 86 | -65 | 26% | β | RB52 |
| 53 | Kimani Vidal | LAC | 83 | -68 | 15% | β | RB42 |
| 54 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | JAX | 82 | -69 | 21% | 153.5 | RB45 |
| 55 | T10Tank Bigsby | PHI | 81 | -70 | 13% | 150.3 | RB64 |
| 56 | Justice Hill | BAL | 81 | -71 | 16% | β | RB61 |
| 57 | Nick Chubb | HOU | 78 | -73 | 26% | β | RB54 |
| 58 | Ray Davis | BUF | 77 | -74 | 13% | β | RB63 |
| 59 | Emanuel Wilson | SEA | 75 | -77 | 10% | β | RB51 |
| 60 | Austin Ekeler | WAS | 74 | -77 | 27% | β | RB100 |
| 61 | T11Samaje Perine | CIN | 74 | -77 | 14% | β | RB56 |
| 62 | Sean Tucker | TB | 73 | -78 | 24% | β | RB49 |
| 63 | Isaiah Davis | NYJ | 72 | -79 | 11% | β | RB59 |
| 64 | Jerome Ford | WAS | 67 | -84 | 14% | β | RB74 |
| 65 | Jeremy McNichols | WAS | 66 | -85 | 14% | β | RB58 |
| 66 | Blake Corum | LA | 65 | -87 | 9% | 121.0 | RB37 |
| 67 | T12Bhayshul Tuten | JAX | 62 | -89 | 31% | 52.9 | RB50 |
| 68 | Keaton Mitchell | LAC | 61 | -90 | 12% | 167.1 | RB66 |
| 69 | Devin Neal | NO | 60 | -91 | 16% | β | RB65 |
| 70 | Ameer Abdullah | JAX | 56 | -95 | 12% | β | RB76 |
| 71 | Antonio Gibson | NE | 54 | -97 | 19% | β | RB92 |
| 72 | Emari Demercado | KC | 53 | -98 | 11% | β | RB62 |
| 73 | T13Cam Akers | SEA | 52 | -99 | 13% | β | RB112 |
| 74 | Jaleel McLaughlin | DEN | 52 | -99 | 9% | β | RB77 |
| 75 | Brashard Smith | KC | 50 | -101 | 9% | β | RB67 |
| 76 | Chris Brooks | GB | 47 | -104 | 8% | β | RB81 |
| 77 | Audric EstimΓ© | NO | 47 | -105 | 16% | β | RB70 |
| 78 | Raheem Mostert | LV | 46 | -105 | 18% | β | RB85 |
| 79 | T14Hunter Luepke | DAL | 46 | -105 | 8% | β | RB75 |
| 80 | Miles Sanders | DAL | 46 | -106 | 18% | β | RB83 |
| 81 | Braelon Allen | NYJ | 43 | -108 | 12% | 160.7 | RB93 |
| 82 | Ollie Gordon II | MIA | 43 | -109 | 15% | β | RB68 |
| 83 | Jaylen Wright | MIA | 42 | -109 | 13% | β | RB69 |
| 84 | Zavier Scott | MIN | 41 | -110 | 9% | β | RB72 |
| 85 | T15Trey Benson | ARI | 39 | -112 | 13% | β | RB79 |
| 86 | Isaac Guerendo | SF | 38 | -113 | 10% | β | RB142 |
| 87 | Dare Ogunbowale | HOU | 37 | -114 | 10% | β | RB86 |
| 88 | Malik Davis | DAL | 36 | -115 | 13% | β | RB71 |
| 89 | Jawhar Jordan | HOU | 36 | -115 | 10% | β | RB80 |
| 90 | Kendre Miller | NO | 34 | -118 | 10% | β | RB73 |
| 91 | T16Tyler Badie | DEN | 33 | -118 | 8% | β | RB82 |
| 92 | Roschon Johnson | CHI | 31 | -120 | 12% | β | RB128 |
| 93 | Rasheen Ali | BAL | 29 | -122 | 12% | β | RB90 |
| 94 | Andrew Beck | NYJ | 29 | -122 | 9% | β | RB87 |
| 95 | LeQuint Allen Jr. | JAX | 28 | -124 | 7% | β | RB89 |
| 96 | Will Shipley | PHI | 27 | -124 | 7% | β | RB95 |
| 97 | T17Dameon Pierce | PHI | 26 | -125 | 11% | β | RB122 |
| 98 | Trey Sermon | PIT | 23 | -128 | 9% | β | RB147 |
| 99 | Tyler Goodson | ATL | 22 | -129 | 8% | β | RB119 |
| 100 | Zamir White | LV | 22 | -129 | 8% | β | RB110 |
| 101 | Khalil Herbert | NYJ | 21 | -130 | 12% | β | RB113 |
| 102 | Jaret Patterson | LAC | 19 | -132 | 10% | β | RB84 |
| 103 | T18Raheim Sanders | CLE | 19 | -132 | 20% | β | RB91 |
| 104 | Trayveon Williams | CLE | 19 | -132 | 8% | β | RB97 |
| 105 | Tahj Brooks | CIN | 19 | -132 | 9% | β | RB116 |
| 106 | Dylan Laube | LV | 18 | -133 | 8% | β | RB120 |
| 107 | Ty Chandler | NO | 18 | -133 | 10% | β | RB111 |
| 108 | Hassan Haskins | LAC | 18 | -134 | 12% | β | RB108 |
| 109 | T19Kaleb Johnson | PIT | 18 | -134 | 9% | β | RB106 |
| 110 | George Holani | SEA | 17 | -134 | 7% | β | RB94 |
| 111 | AJ Dillon | CAR | 17 | -134 | 11% | β | RB104 |
| 112 | Terrell Jennings | NE | 17 | -135 | 12% | β | RB96 |
| 113 | Julius Chestnut | TEN | 16 | -135 | 8% | β | RB121 |
| 114 | Jaydon Blue | DAL | 16 | -135 | 9% | 158.2 | RB88 |
| 115 | T20Adam Prentice | DEN | 16 | -136 | 6% | β | RB98 |
| 116 | D'Ernest Johnson | NE | 15 | -136 | 7% | β | RB125 |
| 117 | DJ Giddens | IND | 14 | -137 | 7% | β | RB105 |
| 118 | Evan Hull | HOU | 14 | -138 | 8% | β | RB115 |
| 119 | Craig Reynolds | DET | 13 | -138 | 7% | β | RB136 |
| 120 | Corey Kiner | ARI | 12 | -140 | 8% | β | RB107 |
| 121 | T21Kene Nwangwu | NYJ | 11 | -140 | 8% | β | RB117 |
| 122 | Jordan Mims | SF | 10 | -141 | 15% | β | RB139 |
| 123 | Jacob Saylors | DET | 10 | -141 | 8% | β | RB130 |
| 124 | British Brooks | HOU | 10 | -141 | 7% | β | RB109 |
| 125 | Ronnie Rivers | LA | 10 | -141 | 7% | β | RB118 |
| 126 | DeeJay Dallas | JAX | 9 | -142 | 12% | β | RB126 |
| 127 | T22Travis Homer | PIT | 9 | -143 | 8% | β | RB150 |
| 128 | Sione Vaki | DET | 8 | -143 | 8% | β | RB135 |
| 129 | Eric Gray | NYG | 8 | -143 | 9% | β | RB144 |
| 130 | Trevor Etienne | CAR | 7 | -144 | 8% | β | RB99 |
| 131 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire | KC | 7 | -144 | 16% | β | RB124 |
| 132 | Chase Edmonds | WAS | 7 | -145 | 9% | β | RB141 |
| 133 | T23Elijah Mitchell | PHI | 5 | -146 | 28% | β | RB145 |
| 134 | Velus Jones Jr. | SEA | 4 | -147 | 8% | β | RB123 |
| 135 | Kalel Mullings | TEN | 4 | -147 | 8% | β | RB132 |
| 136 | Nyheim Hines | NO | 4 | -147 | 9% | β | RB151 |
| 137 | Gary Brightwell | CIN | 3 | -148 | 9% | β | RB148 |
| 138 | Myles Gaskin | SEA | 2 | -149 | 19% | β | RB133 |
| 139 | T24Robbie Ouzts | SEA | 2 | -150 | 7% | β | RB140 |
| 140 | Avery Williams | NYJ | 2 | -150 | 10% | β | RB143 |
| TJonah Coleman | DEN | β | β | β | 166.6 | β | |
| Jeremiyah Love | ARI | β | β | β | 29.9 | β | |
| Jadarian Price | SEA | β | β | β | 72.8 | β | |
| Jonathon Brooks | CAR | β | β | β | 90.2 | β | |
| Emmett Johnson | KC | β | β | β | 153.2 | β | |
| Mike Washington Jr. | LV | β | β | β | 154.2 | β | |
| MarShawn Lloyd | GB | β | β | β | 157.0 | β | |
| Kaelon Black | SF | β | β | β | 165.2 | β |
Data baseline from the projection models Β· refreshed 30 Aug 2026.
Per-game projections from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength β a data baseline, not a betting edge. Rookies without NFL production are placed by market ADP, not model-projected. For entertainment / draft research β 18+.
Usually yes β but for a different reason than in Standard. PPR softens pure rushing volume, yet the backs at the top of this board catch passes too, so their projected points barely drop while their scarcity stays extreme. VOR, not raw points, is what makes an elite RB a first-round pick: the gap to a replacement back is the biggest positional gap in fantasy. From the mid-rounds on, the position flattens fast and WRs typically offer better value per pick.
A handcuff is the direct backup to a workhorse back β the player who inherits a bell-cow role if the starter goes down. Because RB value is so concentrated in volume, a good handcuff is one injury away from RB2-or-better production. Late in drafts, handcuffs to fragile or aging workhorses (especially your own) are among the highest-upside picks available; our tiers help spot which backfields have a clear next man up.
It's the model's anytime-touchdown probability for a typical game. Touchdowns are the most volatile part of RB scoring β two backs with similar yardage projections can differ by several points per game purely on goal-line role. A high TD% flags backs whose teams give them the valuable short-yardage and red-zone work, which is stickier than it looks year over year.