Model predictions for Group B at the 2026 World Cup — each team's chance of winning the group, advancing to the knockout round and going deep. Free to read; the value bets for every group match are in our Football and All-Access plans.
| Team | Win group | Advance |
|---|---|---|
| Canada | 29% | 71% |
| Qatar | 27% | 70% |
| Switzerland | 23% | 66% |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | 22% | 64% |
Group B of the 2026 World Cup features Canada, Qatar, Switzerland and Bosnia & Herzegovina. Switzerland carry the highest Elo rating in the group.
Our model favours Canada to top the group (29%); Qatar is also tipped to advance (70%).
Bosnia & Herzegovina faces the toughest path, with a 36% chance of going out in the group stage.
The top two from each group, plus the eight best third-placed teams, advance to the round of 32.
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