All groups World Cup 2026 · Group D
Get our value bets for every group match — start free
World Cup 2026 Group D
Model predictions for Group D at the 2026 World Cup — each team's chance of winning the group, advancing to the knockout round and going deep. Free to read; the value bets for every group match are in our Football and All-Access plans.
| Team | Win group | Advance |
|---|---|---|
| USA | 36% | 79% |
| Australia | 26% | 70% |
| Paraguay | 19% | 62% |
| Türkiye | 19% | 60% |