Model predictions for Group L at the 2026 World Cup — each team's chance of winning the group, advancing to the knockout round and going deep. Free to read; the value bets for every group match are in our Football and All-Access plans.
| Team | Win group | Advance |
|---|---|---|
| England | 54% | 91% |
| Croatia | 27% | 79% |
| Ghana | 12% | 54% |
| Panama | 7% | 39% |
Group L of the 2026 World Cup features England, Croatia, Ghana and Panama. England carry the highest Elo rating in the group.
Our model favours England to top the group (54%); Croatia is also tipped to advance (79%).
Panama faces the toughest path, with a 61% chance of going out in the group stage.
The top two from each group, plus the eight best third-placed teams, advance to the round of 32.
7-day free trial · no card to sign up · cancel anytime · See plans