Model predictions for Group H at the 2026 World Cup — each team's chance of winning the group, advancing to the knockout round and going deep. Free to read; the value bets for every group match are in our Football and All-Access plans.
| Team | Win group | Advance |
|---|---|---|
| Spain | 60% | 92% |
| Cape Verde | 16% | 65% |
| Uruguay | 14% | 59% |
| Saudi Arabia | 10% | 48% |
Group H of the 2026 World Cup features Spain, Cape Verde, Uruguay and Saudi Arabia. Spain carry the highest Elo rating in the group.
Our model favours Spain to top the group (60%); Cape Verde is also tipped to advance (65%).
Saudi Arabia faces the toughest path, with a 52% chance of going out in the group stage.
The top two from each group, plus the eight best third-placed teams, advance to the round of 32.
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