Model predictions for Group C at the 2026 World Cup — each team's chance of winning the group, advancing to the knockout round and going deep. Free to read; the value bets for every group match are in our Football and All-Access plans.
| Team | Win group | Advance |
|---|---|---|
| Brazil | 54% | 91% |
| Morocco | 28% | 80% |
| Haiti | 10% | 51% |
| Scotland | 8% | 42% |
Group C of the 2026 World Cup features Brazil, Morocco, Haiti and Scotland. Brazil carry the highest Elo rating in the group.
Our model favours Brazil to top the group (54%); Morocco is also tipped to advance (80%).
Scotland faces the toughest path, with a 58% chance of going out in the group stage.
The top two from each group, plus the eight best third-placed teams, advance to the round of 32.
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