Model predictions for Group E at the 2026 World Cup — each team's chance of winning the group, advancing to the knockout round and going deep. Free to read; the value bets for every group match are in our Football and All-Access plans.
| Team | Win group | Advance |
|---|---|---|
| Germany | 55% | 91% |
| Ivory Coast | 22% | 72% |
| Curaçao | 14% | 59% |
| Ecuador | 9% | 44% |
Group E of the 2026 World Cup features Germany, Ivory Coast, Curaçao and Ecuador. Germany carry the highest Elo rating in the group.
Our model favours Germany to top the group (55%); Ivory Coast is also tipped to advance (72%).
Ecuador faces the toughest path, with a 56% chance of going out in the group stage.
The top two from each group, plus the eight best third-placed teams, advance to the round of 32.
7-day free trial · no card to sign up · cancel anytime · See plans