Free NFL fantasy draft rankings from our projection model: every QB, RB, WR and TE ranked by projected fantasy points and value over replacement (VOR) — the scarcity-aware draft signal. The fantasy football draft projections auto-update daily as data refreshes.
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Formats differ only in points per reception — PPR = 1 (point per reception), Half-PPR = 0.5, Standard = 0. Everything else (yards, TDs) scores the same, so PPR lifts high-volume pass-catchers (WRs, receiving RBs) while Standard favours rushing.
VOR = Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement player at the same position. It's the scarcity-aware draft signal: an elite RB/WR is worth more than a higher-scoring QB because the drop-off to a replacement QB is small.
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Bijan Robinson | ATL | 328 | 177 | 41% |
| 2 | Christian McCaffrey | SF | 323 | 172 | 37% |
| 3 | Saquon Barkley | PHI | 282 | 131 | 38% |
| 4 | De'Von Achane | MIA | 274 | 123 | 46% |
| 5 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 270 | 119 | 35% |
| 6 | Derrick Henry | BAL | 258 | 107 | 34% |
| 7 | T2Chase Brown | CIN | 250 | 99 | 31% |
| 8 | Kyren Williams | LA | 238 | 86 | 41% |
| 9 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | 235 | 84 | 38% |
| 10 | Ashton Jeanty | LV | 234 | 83 | 31% |
| 11 | James Cook | BUF | 219 | 68 | 31% |
| 12 | Kenneth Walker III | KC | 207 | 56 | 33% |
| 13 | T3Josh Jacobs | GB | 206 | 55 | 32% |
| 14 | Tony Pollard | TEN | 200 | 49 | 20% |
| 15 | Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 196 | 45 | 23% |
| 16 | Breece Hall | NYJ | 195 | 44 | 29% |
| 17 | Travis Etienne | NO | 190 | 39 | 29% |
| 18 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | 187 | 36 | 36% |
| 19 | T4Bucky Irving | TB | 181 | 30 | 34% |
| 20 | RJ Harvey | DEN | 176 | 25 | 38% |
| 21 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | NYG | 174 | 23 | 20% |
| 22 | Woody Marks | HOU | 172 | 21 | 20% |
| 23 | Aaron Jones | MIN | 171 | 19 | 30% |
| 24 | Javonte Williams | DAL | 160 | 9 | 26% |
| 25 | T5Chuba Hubbard | CAR | 158 | 7 | 21% |
| 26 | Rico Dowdle | PIT | 157 | 6 | 23% |
| 27 | Alvin Kamara | NO | 154 | 3 | 29% |
| 28 | David Montgomery | HOU | 152 | 1 | 37% |
| 29 | Jaylen Warren | PIT | 152 | 1 | 17% |
| 30 | Zach Charbonnet | SEA | 151 | 0 | 28% |
| 31 | T6Quinshon Judkins | CLE | 150 | -1 | 20% |
| 32 | Kareem Hunt | KC | 133 | -18 | 27% |
| 33 | James Conner | ARI | 131 | -20 | 43% |
| 34 | J.K. Dobbins | DEN | 130 | -22 | 25% |
| 35 | Rachaad White | WAS | 127 | -25 | 19% |
| 36 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | 124 | -27 | 27% |
| 37 | T7Cam Skattebo | NYG | 123 | -28 | 42% |
| 38 | TreVeyon Henderson | NE | 120 | -31 | 11% |
| 39 | Kenneth Gainwell | TB | 120 | -31 | 27% |
| 40 | Devin Singletary | NYG | 115 | -37 | 21% |
| 41 | Omarion Hampton | LAC | 112 | -39 | 44% |
| 42 | Dylan Sampson | CLE | 100 | -51 | 16% |
| 43 | T8Jordan Mason | MIN | 99 | -52 | 14% |
| 44 | Michael Carter | TEN | 99 | -52 | 16% |
| 45 | Tyler Allgeier | ARI | 98 | -53 | 17% |
| 46 | Najee Harris | LAC | 97 | -54 | 30% |
| 47 | Kyle Monangai | CHI | 94 | -57 | 17% |
| 48 | Tyjae Spears | TEN | 94 | -57 | 21% |
| 49 | T9Brian Robinson | ATL | 90 | -62 | 14% |
| 50 | Ty Johnson | BUF | 89 | -62 | 17% |
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Ja'Marr Chase | CIN | 278 | 133 | 40% |
| 2 | Puka Nacua | LA | 274 | 129 | 41% |
| 3 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | 241 | 96 | 35% |
| 4 | Justin Jefferson | MIN | 213 | 67 | 29% |
| 5 | A.J. Brown | NE | 204 | 59 | 33% |
| 6 | Davante Adams | LA | 200 | 55 | 34% |
| 7 | T2Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | 195 | 50 | 27% |
| 8 | Nico Collins | HOU | 194 | 48 | 30% |
| 9 | Zay Flowers | BAL | 186 | 40 | 32% |
| 10 | George Pickens | DAL | 183 | 38 | 31% |
| 11 | Jameson Williams | DET | 180 | 35 | 31% |
| 12 | Drake London | ATL | 180 | 35 | 32% |
| 13 | T3CeeDee Lamb | DAL | 180 | 34 | 32% |
| 14 | Stefon Diggs | NE | 179 | 34 | 25% |
| 15 | Chris Olave | NO | 179 | 33 | 33% |
| 16 | Jakobi Meyers | JAX | 178 | 32 | 31% |
| 17 | Tee Higgins | CIN | 177 | 32 | 37% |
| 18 | Courtland Sutton | DEN | 177 | 31 | 28% |
| 19 | T4Brian Thomas Jr. | JAX | 176 | 31 | 26% |
| 20 | DK Metcalf | PIT | 175 | 29 | 34% |
| 21 | Ladd McConkey | LAC | 170 | 25 | 28% |
| 22 | Terry McLaurin | WAS | 168 | 23 | 32% |
| 23 | DeVonta Smith | PHI | 167 | 21 | 25% |
| 24 | DJ Moore | BUF | 165 | 19 | 24% |
| 25 | T5Keenan Allen | LAC | 162 | 17 | 26% |
| 26 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | WAS | 158 | 12 | 31% |
| 27 | Jaylen Waddle | DEN | 155 | 10 | 31% |
| 28 | Cooper Kupp | SEA | 154 | 9 | 30% |
| 29 | Jerry Jeudy | CLE | 153 | 8 | 21% |
| 30 | Khalil Shakir | BUF | 153 | 7 | 24% |
| 31 | T6Tetairoa McMillan | CAR | 151 | 5 | 26% |
| 32 | Jordan Addison | MIN | 151 | 5 | 32% |
| 33 | Mike Evans | SF | 151 | 5 | 36% |
| 34 | Xavier Worthy | KC | 147 | 1 | 25% |
| 35 | Michael Wilson | ARI | 146 | 1 | 34% |
| 36 | Jauan Jennings | MIN | 145 | 0 | 23% |
| 37 | T7Wan'Dale Robinson | TEN | 145 | -1 | 25% |
| 38 | Emeka Egbuka | TB | 145 | -1 | 25% |
| 39 | Luther Burden III | CHI | 144 | -2 | 20% |
| 40 | Michael Pittman | PIT | 140 | -6 | 22% |
| 41 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | ARI | 140 | -6 | 29% |
| 42 | Josh Downs | IND | 139 | -6 | 23% |
| 43 | T8Garrett Wilson | NYJ | 135 | -11 | 28% |
| 44 | Parker Washington | JAX | 135 | -11 | 27% |
| 45 | Malik Nabers | NYG | 129 | -16 | 31% |
| 46 | Romeo Doubs | NE | 127 | -19 | 24% |
| 47 | Rome Odunze | CHI | 126 | -20 | 25% |
| 48 | Quentin Johnston | LAC | 122 | -23 | 27% |
| 49 | T9Alec Pierce | IND | 122 | -24 | 23% |
| 50 | Darnell Mooney | NYG | 121 | -25 | 20% |
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Trey McBride | ARI | 206 | 86 | 36% |
| 2 | Colston Loveland | CHI | 168 | 49 | 29% |
| 3 | Brock Bowers | LV | 167 | 47 | 31% |
| 4 | Travis Kelce | KC | 165 | 46 | 28% |
| 5 | T2Harold Fannin Jr. | CLE | 164 | 45 | 33% |
| 6 | George Kittle | SF | 162 | 43 | 31% |
| 7 | Kyle Pitts | ATL | 155 | 36 | 29% |
| 8 | Dallas Goedert | PHI | 152 | 32 | 31% |
| 9 | T3Mark Andrews | BAL | 147 | 27 | 26% |
| 10 | Tyler Warren | IND | 144 | 24 | 25% |
| 11 | Zach Ertz | WAS | 139 | 20 | 29% |
| 12 | Juwan Johnson | NO | 124 | 5 | 22% |
| 13 | T4Hunter Henry | NE | 120 | 1 | 23% |
| 14 | Sam LaPorta | DET | 120 | 0 | 31% |
| 15 | T.J. Hockenson | MIN | 117 | -2 | 23% |
| 16 | Pat Freiermuth | PIT | 117 | -3 | 22% |
| 17 | T5Dalton Schultz | HOU | 116 | -4 | 21% |
| 18 | Chig Okonkwo | WAS | 111 | -9 | 21% |
| 19 | Jonnu Smith | PIT | 109 | -11 | 15% |
| 20 | Theo Johnson | NYG | 107 | -13 | 23% |
| 21 | T6Oronde Gadsden II | LAC | 106 | -14 | 21% |
| 22 | Jake Ferguson | DAL | 105 | -15 | 21% |
| 23 | Tucker Kraft | GB | 105 | -15 | 31% |
| 24 | Evan Engram | DEN | 99 | -21 | 17% |
| 25 | T7Isaiah Likely | NYG | 98 | -22 | 23% |
| 26 | Cade Otton | TB | 97 | -23 | 18% |
| 27 | Gunnar Helm | TEN | 96 | -24 | 19% |
| 28 | Dalton Kincaid | BUF | 93 | -27 | 21% |
| 29 | T8Mike Gesicki | CIN | 85 | -34 | 19% |
| 30 | AJ Barner | SEA | 85 | -35 | 21% |
| 31 | Brenton Strange | JAX | 84 | -36 | 22% |
| 32 | Cole Kmet | CHI | 84 | -36 | 15% |
| 33 | T9Taysom Hill | NO | 83 | -37 | 18% |
| 34 | Colby Parkinson | LA | 82 | -38 | 19% |
| 35 | Mason Taylor | NYJ | 81 | -39 | 20% |
| 36 | Dawson Knox | BUF | 79 | -41 | 20% |
| 37 | T10Tyler Higbee | LA | 76 | -44 | 15% |
| 38 | David Njoku | LAC | 75 | -45 | 23% |
| 39 | Austin Hooper | ATL | 67 | -53 | 14% |
| 40 | Darren Waller | MIA | 66 | -54 | 24% |
| 41 | T11Tommy Tremble | CAR | 65 | -55 | 17% |
| 42 | Noah Gray | KC | 63 | -57 | 11% |
| 43 | Noah Fant | NO | 61 | -59 | 12% |
| 44 | Elijah Higgins | ARI | 59 | -61 | 11% |
| 45 | T12Michael Mayer | LV | 57 | -63 | 18% |
| 46 | Davis Allen | LA | 57 | -63 | 15% |
| 47 | Luke Musgrave | GB | 57 | -63 | 12% |
| 48 | Tyler Conklin | DET | 54 | -66 | 11% |
| 49 | T13Will Dissly | LAC | 53 | -66 | 12% |
| 50 | Jake Tonges | SF | 53 | -67 | 30% |
Data baseline from the projection models · refreshed 28 Jul 2026. Qualitative notes (rookies, landing spots, ADP) coming soon.
Per-game projections from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline, not a betting edge. For entertainment / draft research — 18+.
Our projection model estimates per-game fantasy points for every QB, RB, WR and TE from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength, then ranks players by value over replacement (VOR). The same model family powers our public NFL 2026 season predictions.
VOR (value over replacement) measures projected points above a freely available replacement player at the same position. It is the scarcity-aware draft signal: an elite RB or WR outranks a higher-scoring QB because the drop-off to a replacement QB is small.
Yes — switch formats at the top of the board. The formats differ only in points per reception (PPR = 1, Half-PPR = 0.5, Standard = 0), so PPR lifts high-volume pass-catchers while Standard favours rushing production.
Daily and automatically, as new data lands. During draft season we also publish a weekly rankings recap on the blog.
ADP-based rankings show where players are being drafted by the market; our board ranks where they should be drafted on projected value. The gap between the two is where draft value lives — our free mock draft simulator drafts its bots by ADP so you can practice exploiting it.
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