Free NFL fantasy draft rankings from our projection model: every QB, RB, WR and TE ranked by projected fantasy points and value over replacement (VOR) — the scarcity-aware draft signal. The fantasy football draft projections auto-update daily as data refreshes.
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Formats differ only in points per reception — PPR = 1 (point per reception), Half-PPR = 0.5, Standard = 0. Everything else (yards, TDs) scores the same, so PPR lifts high-volume pass-catchers (WRs, receiving RBs) while Standard favours rushing.
VOR = Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement player at the same position. It's the scarcity-aware draft signal: an elite RB/WR is worth more than a higher-scoring QB because the drop-off to a replacement QB is small.
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Ja'Marr Chase | CIN | 220 | 107 | 40% |
| 2 | Puka Nacua | LA | 216 | 103 | 41% |
| 3 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | 186 | 73 | 35% |
| 4 | Justin Jefferson | MIN | 169 | 56 | 29% |
| 5 | A.J. Brown | NE | 162 | 49 | 33% |
| 6 | Davante Adams | LA | 157 | 44 | 34% |
| 7 | T2Nico Collins | HOU | 154 | 41 | 30% |
| 8 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | 147 | 33 | 27% |
| 9 | Zay Flowers | BAL | 146 | 33 | 32% |
| 10 | Jameson Williams | DET | 146 | 33 | 31% |
| 11 | George Pickens | DAL | 145 | 32 | 31% |
| 12 | Brian Thomas Jr. | JAX | 143 | 30 | 26% |
| 13 | T3Drake London | ATL | 142 | 29 | 32% |
| 14 | Tee Higgins | CIN | 141 | 28 | 37% |
| 15 | Courtland Sutton | DEN | 139 | 26 | 28% |
| 16 | DK Metcalf | PIT | 139 | 25 | 34% |
| 17 | Stefon Diggs | NE | 138 | 24 | 25% |
| 18 | Chris Olave | NO | 137 | 24 | 33% |
| 19 | T4Terry McLaurin | WAS | 136 | 23 | 32% |
| 20 | CeeDee Lamb | DAL | 136 | 23 | 32% |
| 21 | Ladd McConkey | LAC | 135 | 22 | 28% |
| 22 | Jakobi Meyers | JAX | 135 | 22 | 31% |
| 23 | DeVonta Smith | PHI | 129 | 16 | 25% |
| 24 | DJ Moore | BUF | 128 | 15 | 24% |
| 25 | T5Deebo Samuel Sr. | WAS | 125 | 12 | 31% |
| 26 | Jordan Addison | MIN | 123 | 10 | 32% |
| 27 | Mike Evans | SF | 122 | 9 | 36% |
| 28 | Keenan Allen | LAC | 122 | 8 | 26% |
| 29 | Jaylen Waddle | DEN | 121 | 7 | 31% |
| 30 | Tetairoa McMillan | CAR | 120 | 7 | 26% |
| 31 | T6Cooper Kupp | SEA | 120 | 6 | 30% |
| 32 | Xavier Worthy | KC | 118 | 5 | 25% |
| 33 | Jerry Jeudy | CLE | 118 | 5 | 21% |
| 34 | Jauan Jennings | MIN | 115 | 2 | 23% |
| 35 | Michael Wilson | ARI | 114 | 1 | 34% |
| 36 | Emeka Egbuka | TB | 113 | 0 | 25% |
| 37 | T7Khalil Shakir | BUF | 112 | -2 | 24% |
| 38 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | ARI | 112 | -2 | 29% |
| 39 | Luther Burden III | CHI | 111 | -3 | 20% |
| 40 | Josh Downs | IND | 106 | -7 | 23% |
| 41 | Wan'Dale Robinson | TEN | 105 | -8 | 25% |
| 42 | Parker Washington | JAX | 105 | -9 | 27% |
| 43 | T8Michael Pittman | PIT | 103 | -10 | 22% |
| 44 | Garrett Wilson | NYJ | 101 | -12 | 28% |
| 45 | Alec Pierce | IND | 101 | -12 | 23% |
| 46 | Rome Odunze | CHI | 99 | -14 | 25% |
| 47 | Romeo Doubs | NE | 99 | -14 | 24% |
| 48 | Quentin Johnston | LAC | 98 | -15 | 27% |
| 49 | T9Malik Nabers | NYG | 98 | -16 | 31% |
| 50 | Darnell Mooney | NYG | 96 | -18 | 20% |
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Trey McBride | ARI | 147 | 55 | 36% |
| 2 | Colston Loveland | CHI | 130 | 38 | 29% |
| 3 | George Kittle | SF | 128 | 36 | 31% |
| 4 | Harold Fannin Jr. | CLE | 125 | 33 | 33% |
| 5 | T2Brock Bowers | LV | 124 | 32 | 31% |
| 6 | Travis Kelce | KC | 122 | 30 | 28% |
| 7 | Kyle Pitts | ATL | 119 | 27 | 29% |
| 8 | Mark Andrews | BAL | 118 | 26 | 26% |
| 9 | T3Dallas Goedert | PHI | 117 | 26 | 31% |
| 10 | Tyler Warren | IND | 110 | 18 | 25% |
| 11 | Zach Ertz | WAS | 105 | 13 | 29% |
| 12 | Sam LaPorta | DET | 93 | 1 | 31% |
| 13 | T4Juwan Johnson | NO | 93 | 1 | 22% |
| 14 | Hunter Henry | NE | 92 | 0 | 23% |
| 15 | Pat Freiermuth | PIT | 89 | -3 | 22% |
| 16 | T.J. Hockenson | MIN | 86 | -6 | 23% |
| 17 | T5Dalton Schultz | HOU | 86 | -7 | 21% |
| 18 | Jonnu Smith | PIT | 84 | -8 | 15% |
| 19 | Tucker Kraft | GB | 83 | -9 | 31% |
| 20 | Oronde Gadsden II | LAC | 83 | -9 | 21% |
| 21 | T6Chig Okonkwo | WAS | 82 | -10 | 21% |
| 22 | Theo Johnson | NYG | 81 | -11 | 23% |
| 23 | Isaiah Likely | NYG | 77 | -15 | 23% |
| 24 | Jake Ferguson | DAL | 76 | -17 | 21% |
| 25 | T7Evan Engram | DEN | 72 | -20 | 17% |
| 26 | Taysom Hill | NO | 72 | -21 | 18% |
| 27 | Cade Otton | TB | 71 | -21 | 18% |
| 28 | Gunnar Helm | TEN | 70 | -22 | 19% |
| 29 | T8Dalton Kincaid | BUF | 70 | -22 | 21% |
| 30 | AJ Barner | SEA | 66 | -26 | 21% |
| 31 | Cole Kmet | CHI | 64 | -28 | 15% |
| 32 | Brenton Strange | JAX | 63 | -29 | 22% |
| 33 | T9Mike Gesicki | CIN | 62 | -30 | 19% |
| 34 | Colby Parkinson | LA | 61 | -31 | 19% |
| 35 | Dawson Knox | BUF | 60 | -32 | 20% |
| 36 | Mason Taylor | NYJ | 59 | -33 | 20% |
| 37 | T10Tyler Higbee | LA | 59 | -33 | 15% |
| 38 | David Njoku | LAC | 55 | -37 | 23% |
| 39 | Darren Waller | MIA | 51 | -41 | 24% |
| 40 | Austin Hooper | ATL | 50 | -42 | 14% |
| 41 | T11Tommy Tremble | CAR | 50 | -42 | 17% |
| 42 | Noah Gray | KC | 48 | -44 | 11% |
| 43 | Noah Fant | NO | 45 | -47 | 12% |
| 44 | Elijah Higgins | ARI | 44 | -49 | 11% |
| 45 | T12Davis Allen | LA | 43 | -49 | 15% |
| 46 | Luke Musgrave | GB | 43 | -49 | 12% |
| 47 | Michael Mayer | LV | 42 | -50 | 18% |
| 48 | Foster Moreau | HOU | 40 | -52 | 14% |
| 49 | T13Tyler Conklin | DET | 40 | -52 | 11% |
| 50 | Jake Tonges | SF | 40 | -52 | 30% |
Data baseline from the projection models · refreshed 28 Jul 2026. Qualitative notes (rookies, landing spots, ADP) coming soon.
Per-game projections from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline, not a betting edge. For entertainment / draft research — 18+.
Our projection model estimates per-game fantasy points for every QB, RB, WR and TE from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength, then ranks players by value over replacement (VOR). The same model family powers our public NFL 2026 season predictions.
VOR (value over replacement) measures projected points above a freely available replacement player at the same position. It is the scarcity-aware draft signal: an elite RB or WR outranks a higher-scoring QB because the drop-off to a replacement QB is small.
Yes — switch formats at the top of the board. The formats differ only in points per reception (PPR = 1, Half-PPR = 0.5, Standard = 0), so PPR lifts high-volume pass-catchers while Standard favours rushing production.
Daily and automatically, as new data lands. During draft season we also publish a weekly rankings recap on the blog.
ADP-based rankings show where players are being drafted by the market; our board ranks where they should be drafted on projected value. The gap between the two is where draft value lives — our free mock draft simulator drafts its bots by ADP so you can practice exploiting it.
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