Free NFL fantasy draft rankings from our projection model: every QB, RB, WR and TE ranked by projected fantasy points and value over replacement (VOR) — the scarcity-aware draft signal. The fantasy football draft projections auto-update daily as data refreshes.
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Formats differ only in points per reception — PPR = 1 (point per reception), Half-PPR = 0.5, Standard = 0. Everything else (yards, TDs) scores the same, so PPR lifts high-volume pass-catchers (WRs, receiving RBs) while Standard favours rushing.
VOR = Value Over Replacement — projected points above a freely-available replacement player at the same position. It's the scarcity-aware draft signal: an elite RB/WR is worth more than a higher-scoring QB because the drop-off to a replacement QB is small.
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Christian McCaffrey | SF | 372 | 207 | 37% |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | ATL | 364 | 199 | 41% |
| 3 | De'Von Achane | MIA | 310 | 145 | 46% |
| 4 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 305 | 140 | 35% |
| 5 | Saquon Barkley | PHI | 302 | 137 | 38% |
| 6 | Chase Brown | CIN | 282 | 118 | 31% |
| 7 | T2Derrick Henry | BAL | 266 | 102 | 34% |
| 8 | Ashton Jeanty | LV | 262 | 97 | 31% |
| 9 | Kyren Williams | LA | 256 | 91 | 41% |
| 10 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | 254 | 89 | 38% |
| 11 | James Cook | BUF | 236 | 71 | 31% |
| 12 | Kenneth Walker III | KC | 228 | 63 | 33% |
| 13 | T3Josh Jacobs | GB | 224 | 60 | 32% |
| 14 | Tony Pollard | TEN | 218 | 53 | 20% |
| 15 | Breece Hall | NYJ | 217 | 52 | 29% |
| 16 | Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 216 | 52 | 23% |
| 17 | Travis Etienne | NO | 211 | 46 | 29% |
| 18 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | 206 | 41 | 36% |
| 19 | T4RJ Harvey | DEN | 201 | 36 | 38% |
| 20 | Bucky Irving | TB | 201 | 36 | 34% |
| 21 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | NYG | 193 | 28 | 20% |
| 22 | Aaron Jones | MIN | 190 | 25 | 30% |
| 23 | Woody Marks | HOU | 185 | 20 | 20% |
| 24 | Javonte Williams | DAL | 180 | 16 | 26% |
| 25 | T5Alvin Kamara | NO | 177 | 12 | 29% |
| 26 | Rico Dowdle | PIT | 177 | 12 | 23% |
| 27 | Chuba Hubbard | CAR | 177 | 12 | 21% |
| 28 | Jaylen Warren | PIT | 173 | 8 | 17% |
| 29 | David Montgomery | HOU | 166 | 2 | 37% |
| 30 | Zach Charbonnet | SEA | 165 | 0 | 28% |
| 31 | T6Quinshon Judkins | CLE | 163 | -1 | 20% |
| 32 | Rachaad White | WAS | 149 | -16 | 19% |
| 33 | Kenneth Gainwell | TB | 146 | -19 | 27% |
| 34 | James Conner | ARI | 144 | -20 | 43% |
| 35 | Kareem Hunt | KC | 144 | -21 | 27% |
| 36 | J.K. Dobbins | DEN | 139 | -26 | 25% |
| 37 | T7TreVeyon Henderson | NE | 137 | -28 | 11% |
| 38 | Cam Skattebo | NYG | 135 | -30 | 42% |
| 39 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | 129 | -36 | 27% |
| 40 | Omarion Hampton | LAC | 128 | -37 | 44% |
| 41 | Devin Singletary | NYG | 124 | -40 | 21% |
| 42 | Dylan Sampson | CLE | 117 | -48 | 16% |
| 43 | T8Michael Carter | TEN | 116 | -49 | 16% |
| 44 | Tyjae Spears | TEN | 115 | -50 | 21% |
| 45 | Jordan Mason | MIN | 107 | -58 | 14% |
| 46 | Najee Harris | LAC | 106 | -58 | 30% |
| 47 | Tyler Allgeier | ARI | 105 | -60 | 17% |
| 48 | Kyle Monangai | CHI | 105 | -60 | 17% |
| 49 | T9Ty Johnson | BUF | 100 | -64 | 17% |
| 50 | Bam Knight | ARI | 97 | -67 | 26% |
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Ja'Marr Chase | CIN | 336 | 160 | 40% |
| 2 | Puka Nacua | LA | 333 | 156 | 41% |
| 3 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | 297 | 120 | 35% |
| 4 | Justin Jefferson | MIN | 256 | 80 | 29% |
| 5 | A.J. Brown | NE | 246 | 69 | 33% |
| 6 | Davante Adams | LA | 244 | 67 | 34% |
| 7 | T2Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | 243 | 67 | 27% |
| 8 | Nico Collins | HOU | 233 | 57 | 30% |
| 9 | Zay Flowers | BAL | 225 | 49 | 32% |
| 10 | CeeDee Lamb | DAL | 224 | 47 | 32% |
| 11 | George Pickens | DAL | 221 | 45 | 31% |
| 12 | Stefon Diggs | NE | 220 | 44 | 25% |
| 13 | T3Chris Olave | NO | 220 | 44 | 33% |
| 14 | Jakobi Meyers | JAX | 220 | 44 | 31% |
| 15 | Drake London | ATL | 218 | 42 | 32% |
| 16 | Jameson Williams | DET | 215 | 38 | 31% |
| 17 | Courtland Sutton | DEN | 214 | 38 | 28% |
| 18 | Tee Higgins | CIN | 213 | 37 | 37% |
| 19 | T4DK Metcalf | PIT | 211 | 34 | 34% |
| 20 | Brian Thomas Jr. | JAX | 210 | 33 | 26% |
| 21 | Ladd McConkey | LAC | 205 | 29 | 28% |
| 22 | DeVonta Smith | PHI | 204 | 27 | 25% |
| 23 | Keenan Allen | LAC | 202 | 26 | 26% |
| 24 | DJ Moore | BUF | 202 | 25 | 24% |
| 25 | T5Terry McLaurin | WAS | 200 | 23 | 32% |
| 26 | Khalil Shakir | BUF | 194 | 17 | 24% |
| 27 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | WAS | 190 | 13 | 31% |
| 28 | Cooper Kupp | SEA | 189 | 13 | 30% |
| 29 | Jaylen Waddle | DEN | 189 | 13 | 31% |
| 30 | Jerry Jeudy | CLE | 188 | 11 | 21% |
| 31 | T6Wan'Dale Robinson | TEN | 185 | 8 | 25% |
| 32 | Tetairoa McMillan | CAR | 182 | 5 | 26% |
| 33 | Mike Evans | SF | 179 | 2 | 36% |
| 34 | Jordan Addison | MIN | 178 | 2 | 32% |
| 35 | Michael Wilson | ARI | 178 | 1 | 34% |
| 36 | Luther Burden III | CHI | 177 | 0 | 20% |
| 37 | T7Emeka Egbuka | TB | 176 | -0 | 25% |
| 38 | Michael Pittman | PIT | 176 | -1 | 22% |
| 39 | Jauan Jennings | MIN | 176 | -1 | 23% |
| 40 | Xavier Worthy | KC | 175 | -2 | 25% |
| 41 | Josh Downs | IND | 173 | -4 | 23% |
| 42 | Garrett Wilson | NYJ | 168 | -9 | 28% |
| 43 | T8Marvin Harrison Jr. | ARI | 168 | -9 | 29% |
| 44 | Parker Washington | JAX | 164 | -12 | 27% |
| 45 | Malik Nabers | NYG | 161 | -16 | 31% |
| 46 | Romeo Doubs | NE | 155 | -22 | 24% |
| 47 | Rome Odunze | CHI | 152 | -24 | 25% |
| 48 | Quentin Johnston | LAC | 147 | -30 | 27% |
| 49 | T9Darnell Mooney | NYG | 146 | -30 | 20% |
| 50 | Chimere Dike | TEN | 144 | -33 | 24% |
| # | Player | Team | Proj pts | VOR | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T1Trey McBride | ARI | 264 | 116 | 36% |
| 2 | Brock Bowers | LV | 211 | 63 | 31% |
| 3 | Travis Kelce | KC | 209 | 61 | 28% |
| 4 | Colston Loveland | CHI | 207 | 59 | 29% |
| 5 | T2Harold Fannin Jr. | CLE | 204 | 56 | 33% |
| 6 | George Kittle | SF | 197 | 49 | 31% |
| 7 | Kyle Pitts | ATL | 192 | 44 | 29% |
| 8 | Dallas Goedert | PHI | 186 | 38 | 31% |
| 9 | T3Tyler Warren | IND | 177 | 29 | 25% |
| 10 | Mark Andrews | BAL | 176 | 28 | 26% |
| 11 | Zach Ertz | WAS | 173 | 25 | 29% |
| 12 | Juwan Johnson | NO | 156 | 8 | 22% |
| 13 | T4Hunter Henry | NE | 149 | 1 | 23% |
| 14 | T.J. Hockenson | MIN | 148 | 0 | 23% |
| 15 | Dalton Schultz | HOU | 147 | -1 | 21% |
| 16 | Sam LaPorta | DET | 146 | -2 | 31% |
| 17 | T5Pat Freiermuth | PIT | 144 | -4 | 22% |
| 18 | Chig Okonkwo | WAS | 140 | -8 | 21% |
| 19 | Jake Ferguson | DAL | 135 | -13 | 21% |
| 20 | Jonnu Smith | PIT | 133 | -15 | 15% |
| 21 | T6Theo Johnson | NYG | 132 | -16 | 23% |
| 22 | Oronde Gadsden II | LAC | 130 | -18 | 21% |
| 23 | Tucker Kraft | GB | 126 | -22 | 31% |
| 24 | Evan Engram | DEN | 125 | -23 | 17% |
| 25 | T7Cade Otton | TB | 123 | -26 | 18% |
| 26 | Gunnar Helm | TEN | 121 | -27 | 19% |
| 27 | Isaiah Likely | NYG | 118 | -30 | 23% |
| 28 | Dalton Kincaid | BUF | 116 | -32 | 21% |
| 29 | T8Mike Gesicki | CIN | 108 | -40 | 19% |
| 30 | Brenton Strange | JAX | 105 | -43 | 22% |
| 31 | Colby Parkinson | LA | 103 | -45 | 19% |
| 32 | Cole Kmet | CHI | 103 | -45 | 15% |
| 33 | T9Mason Taylor | NYJ | 103 | -45 | 20% |
| 34 | AJ Barner | SEA | 103 | -45 | 21% |
| 35 | Dawson Knox | BUF | 98 | -51 | 20% |
| 36 | David Njoku | LAC | 96 | -53 | 23% |
| 37 | T10Taysom Hill | NO | 94 | -54 | 18% |
| 38 | Tyler Higbee | LA | 93 | -55 | 15% |
| 39 | Austin Hooper | ATL | 84 | -65 | 14% |
| 40 | Darren Waller | MIA | 81 | -67 | 24% |
| 41 | T11Tommy Tremble | CAR | 80 | -68 | 17% |
| 42 | Noah Gray | KC | 78 | -70 | 11% |
| 43 | Noah Fant | NO | 77 | -71 | 12% |
| 44 | Elijah Higgins | ARI | 75 | -73 | 11% |
| 45 | T12Michael Mayer | LV | 72 | -76 | 18% |
| 46 | Luke Musgrave | GB | 72 | -77 | 12% |
| 47 | Davis Allen | LA | 71 | -77 | 15% |
| 48 | Will Dissly | LAC | 68 | -80 | 12% |
| 49 | T13Tyler Conklin | DET | 68 | -80 | 11% |
| 50 | Jake Tonges | SF | 65 | -83 | 30% |
Data baseline from the projection models · refreshed 28 Jul 2026. Qualitative notes (rookies, landing spots, ADP) coming soon.
Per-game projections from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline, not a betting edge. For entertainment / draft research — 18+.
Our projection model estimates per-game fantasy points for every QB, RB, WR and TE from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength, then ranks players by value over replacement (VOR). The same model family powers our public NFL 2026 season predictions.
VOR (value over replacement) measures projected points above a freely available replacement player at the same position. It is the scarcity-aware draft signal: an elite RB or WR outranks a higher-scoring QB because the drop-off to a replacement QB is small.
Yes — switch formats at the top of the board. The formats differ only in points per reception (PPR = 1, Half-PPR = 0.5, Standard = 0), so PPR lifts high-volume pass-catchers while Standard favours rushing production.
Daily and automatically, as new data lands. During draft season we also publish a weekly rankings recap on the blog.
ADP-based rankings show where players are being drafted by the market; our board ranks where they should be drafted on projected value. The gap between the two is where draft value lives — our free mock draft simulator drafts its bots by ADP so you can practice exploiting it.
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